Ravens vs Bills Match Player Stats | Week 4 Sunday Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens

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Ravens vs Bills Match Player Stats | Week 4 Sunday Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens

BUF @ BAL

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 4 Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bills are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on passing than their normal approach.

The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (38.7 per game) since the start of last season.

Dalton Kincaid has run a route on 77.1% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The projections expect Dalton Kincaid to total 5.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.

With an impressive 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Dalton Kincaid rates as one of the top pass-catching TEs in football.

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a running game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 51.9% of their downs: the highest frequency on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect Derrick Henry to notch 18.1 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.

With a terrific record of 72.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (95th percentile), Derrick Henry places among the top pure rushers in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Buffalo Bills defense has had the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, giving up 4.62 adjusted yards-per-carry.

In this game, James Cook is predicted by the projections to finish in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 15.6 carries.

Among all RBs, James Cook grades out in the 88th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 57.8% of the workload in his team’s rushing attack.

James Cook has generated 66.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to RBs (92nd percentile).

In totaling a staggering 31.6 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Josh Allen stands among the top quarterbacks in football (76th percentile) for this stat.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

With an outstanding tally of 236.0 adjusted passing yards per game (88th percentile), Josh Allen places among the leading QBs in the NFL since the start of last season.

Khalil Shakir has been one of the most reliable receivers in the league, catching an excellent 87.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile among wide receivers.

Khalil Shakir rates as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging an excellent 13.18 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Since the start of last season, the poor Bills defense has been torched for a whopping 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-worst rate in the league.

With an impressive 92.5% Route% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers rates as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL.

This week, Zay Flowers is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile among wide receivers with 6.6 targets.

Zay Flowers has earned a colossal 23.3% of his team’s air yards since the start of last season: 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

With a stellar 46.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers stands among the top WRs in the game in the league.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 59.8 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to have only 122.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number on the slate this week.

Derrick Henry has been much less involved in his team’s run game this year (55.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (65.7%).

The Bills safeties rank as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Since the start of last season, the strong Baltimore Ravens run defense has conceded a puny 96.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 5th-best in the NFL.

The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles profile as the best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest clip in football versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season (66.0% Adjusted Completion%).

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has displayed strong efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 6.74 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

The Baltimore cornerbacks profile as the 6th-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Ravens defense has conceded a paltry 60.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 5th-lowest rate in football.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Baltimore Ravens defense has given up the least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a puny 6.9 yards.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 48.1% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Bills, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Lamar Jackson’s throwing precision has worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 68.1% to 64.0%.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Bills defense has yielded a mere 113.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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