
NE @ BUF







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 22nd
22/12/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Khalil Shakir has been a much bigger part of his offense’s pass game this year (23.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (7.8%).
Khalil Shakir has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (32.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).
When it comes to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Bills profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.
Khalil Shakir has accrued a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (62.0) this season than he did last season (36.0).
With an impressive 84.4% Adjusted Completion% (100th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir rates as one of the best possession receivers in football among wideouts.
This game’s spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Patriots, who are huge -14-point underdogs.
The projections expect the New England Patriots as the 10th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (35.1 per game) this year.
Hunter Henry’s 81.9% Route% this season indicates a material growth in his air attack usage over last season’s 71.6% mark.
Hunter Henry has posted substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).
The leading projections forecast Demario Douglas to total 6.4 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among WRs.
Demario Douglas’s 79.2% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a substantial growth in his receiving talent over last season’s 64.1% mark.
The Buffalo Bills defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.06 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 10th-most in football.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Buffalo’s group of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the worst in football.
The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 13.6 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has garnered 60.8% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has picked up 56.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (77th percentile).
As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Buffalo’s group of DTs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league. in the league.
With a fantastic rate of 246.0 adjusted passing yards per game (76th percentile), Josh Allen stands among the leading quarterbacks in football this year.
With a terrific 8.06 adjusted yards-per-target (79th percentile) this year, Josh Allen places as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in football.
This year, the weak Patriots defense has allowed the 10th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing squads: a whopping 7.98 yards.
The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 5th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.1% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast James Cook to accrue 14.3 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.
With an excellent tally of 68.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (88th percentile), James Cook ranks as one of the top pure rushers in the NFL this year.
This year, the weak Patriots run defense has surrendered a colossal 132.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-worst in the league.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The Bills are a giant 14-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 5th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see just 124.9 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
The Buffalo Bills have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the New England Patriots ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the tough Buffalo Bills defense has given up a feeble 71.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 6th-smallest rate in the NFL.
This year, the strong Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a mere 6.5 yards.
After accruing 44.0 air yards per game last year, Demario Douglas has regressed heavily this year, now pacing 29.0 per game.
The Bills pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, surrendering 7.58 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.
The projections expect the Patriots to be the 10th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 40.2% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
With an awful rate of 3.80 adjusted yards per carry (17th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson has been as one of the bottom running backs in the league at the position.
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