Bills vs Lions Match Player Stats | Week 15 Sunday 2024

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Bills vs Lions Match Player Stats | Week 15 Sunday 2024

BUF @ DET

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 15 Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 15th
15/12/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

The Lions have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 58.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to garner 9.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a key part of his team’s passing offense, earning a Target Share of 26.7% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

This year, the poor Bills pass defense has given up a massive 71.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 3rd-worst rate in football.

The model projects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week’s game, Josh Allen is projected by the model to total the 9th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.2.,The Detroit Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (36.9 per game) this year.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year.

James Cook has garnered 54.7% of his team’s rush attempts this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

With an exceptional record of 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (83rd percentile), James Cook places as one of the top pure runners in the league this year.

With an impressive tally of 4.83 adjusted yards per carry (80th percentile), James Cook rates among the best running backs in the league this year.

The Lions have been the 10th-most run-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 41.4% run rate.

Among all RBs, Jahmyr Gibbs grades out in the 80th percentile for carries this year, making up 45.9% of the workload in his team’s rushing attack.

Jahmyr Gibbs’s 81.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a substantial progression in his rushing proficiency over last season’s 65.0 rate.

With a remarkable record of 5.90 adjusted yards per carry (97th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs has been among the best RBs in football this year.

Jared Goff’s throwing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 66.3% to 72.1%.

Jared Goff’s throwing effectiveness has been refined this season, accumulating 8.54 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 7.53 mark last season.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in football vs. the Bills defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).

The projections expect Sam LaPorta to total 5.5 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Sam LaPorta’s possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 71.7% to 76.8%.

Sam LaPorta’s 9.7 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a noteable boost in his receiving prowess over last year’s 7.1 rate.

Khalil Shakir’s 23.0% Target Rate this season reflects a substantial boost in his passing offense usage over last season’s 7.8% mark.

After accruing 21.0 air yards per game last year, Khalil Shakir has seen a big uptick this year, currently averaging 31.0 per game.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

With a 58.6% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-least pass-oriented team in the league has been the Detroit Lions.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 126.2 total plays run: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

After accumulating 76.0 air yards per game last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has posted significant losses this season, currently pacing 61.0 per game.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (73.0) this season than he did last season (98.0).

Amon-Ra St. Brown’s talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this season, notching a mere 3.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.55 mark last season.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the model to call only 62.0 total plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.

The Buffalo Bills have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.8 plays per game.

Josh Allen has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (236.0) this season than he did last season (261.0).

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest clip in football against the Detroit Lions defense this year (64.2% Adjusted Completion%).

The Detroit Lions pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, surrendering 7.02 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

The predictive model expects the Bills to be the 6th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Opposing squads have run for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 90.0 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year.

The Bills pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, yielding 7.43 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

After averaging 53.0 air yards per game last season, Sam LaPorta has seen a big decline this season, now boasting 30.0 per game.

Sam LaPorta’s 32.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 45.9.

This year, the fierce Bills defense has yielded a mere 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-fewest in the league.

Khalil Shakir’s receiving effectiveness has declined this year, totaling just 9.70 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 12.90 mark last year.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, surrendering 7.45 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit’s group of safeties has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in football.

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