
BUF @ HOU




Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 6th
06/10/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
This game will be played in a dome, —which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Josh Allen’s passing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 67.3% to 70.5%.
With a fantastic 8.53 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Josh Allen has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in the league.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to pass on 59.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The Texans have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In racking up a massive 35.9 pass attempts per game this year, C.J. Stroud places among the top QBs in football (82nd percentile) in this regard.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
Our trusted projections expect James Cook to earn 12.4 carries in this game, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
Among all running backs, James Cook ranks in the 84th percentile for carries this year, comprising 55.7% of the workload in his offense’s running game.
With an exceptional rate of 59.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (78th percentile), James Cook places among the best running backs in the league this year.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are projected by our trusted projection set to call only 61.1 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Buffalo Bills have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 49.8 plays per game.
Josh Allen has passed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (215.0) this year than he did last year (261.0).
Opposing teams have passed for the 6th-fewest yards in the league (just 176.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Houston Texans defense this year.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Houston Texans defense has given up the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a measly 4.9 YAC.
The predictive model expects this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 123.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in the league vs. the Bills defense this year (67.5% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the stout Bills defense has conceded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing squads: a measly 6.0 yards.
When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Buffalo’s group of CBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.
Since the start of last season, the poor Texans run defense has conceded a massive 3.77 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing rushing attacks: the 31st-highest rate in the league.
As it relates to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Houston’s unit has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
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