
CIN @ BAL







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Thursday, November 7th
07/11/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to earn 14.2 rush attempts in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The model projects Chase Brown to be much more involved in his team’s ground game in this week’s contest (70.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (47.2% in games he has played).
Chase Brown has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (52.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).
Chase Brown’s 4.5 adjusted yards per carry this year reflects a meaningful growth in his running skills over last year’s 3.6 mark.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 67.7% of their downs: the highest clip on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Joe Burrow to attempt 39.6 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the most among all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
With an outstanding record of 251.0 adjusted passing yards per game (84th percentile), Joe Burrow stands as one of the top quarterbacks in football this year.
The predictive model expects Mike Gesicki to accrue 6.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
Mike Gesicki’s 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents an impressive gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 17.0 mark.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.6 per game) this year.
In this game, Mark Andrews is projected by the projections to land in the 84th percentile among tight ends with 5.0 targets.
While Mark Andrews has accounted for 12.6% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Baltimore’s pass game this week at 18.0%.
Mark Andrews’s ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 74.4% to 84.3%.
Mark Andrews’s receiving effectiveness has been refined this season, notching 10.80 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 9.35 mark last season.
The model projects the Ravens to be the most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.3% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
In this week’s game, Derrick Henry is predicted by the projections to slot into the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.7 carries.
Derrick Henry has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (123.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the league (137 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
The predictive model expects Ja’Marr Chase to total 11.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
Ja’Marr Chase grades out as one of the leading WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 77.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
Lamar Jackson’s 263.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year illustrates a noteworthy gain in his throwing proficiency over last year’s 225.0 figure.
Lamar Jackson rates as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football this year with an excellent 69.2% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 78th percentile.
Lamar Jackson’s passing efficiency has gotten better this season, compiling 9.27 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.89 rate last season.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties profile as the 4th-worst safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
In this week’s game, Zay Flowers is projected by the model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.5 targets.
After averaging 57.0 air yards per game last year, Zay Flowers has gotten better this year, currently boasting 68.0 per game.
Zay Flowers’s 61.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 52.2.
Zay Flowers’s 71.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a substantial boost in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 52.0 figure.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
This game’s line implies a throwing game script for the Bengals, who are -6-point underdogs.
The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 32.3% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Bengals to call the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The opposing side have rushed for the fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 75.0 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in defending against the run, Baltimore’s unit has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.
When it comes to safeties getting after the quarterback, Baltimore’s group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
With a 6-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, implying more of a reliance on running than their usual game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mark Andrews has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (49.0 per game).
Mark Andrews has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (56.0).
As it relates to the linebackers’ role in defending against the run, Cincinnati’s group of LBs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in football.
After accruing 89.0 air yards per game last year, Ja’Marr Chase has seen a big decline this year, now sitting at 60.0 per game.
This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens pass defense has allowed the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a paltry 3.6 YAC.
The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to throw 28.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.
This year, the tough Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing squads: a mere 4.4 YAC.
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