Ravens vs Texans Match Player Stats | Week 17 Wednesday 2024

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Ravens vs Texans Match Player Stats | Week 17 Wednesday 2024

BAL @ HOU

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 17 Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans
Todays Game is on Wednesday, December 25th
25/12/24 16:30:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -5.5-point underdog this week.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Houston Texans to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

In this contest, C.J. Stroud is projected by the predictive model to total the 6th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.6.,Opposing teams have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Lamar Jackson has passed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (252.0) this season than he did last season (225.0).

Lamar Jackson grades out as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football this year with an excellent 68.6% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 76th percentile.

With a stellar 8.74 adjusted yards-per-target (100th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson has been as one of the best per-play quarterbacks in the league.

The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to notch 17.9 carries in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

Out of all running backs, Joe Mixon grades out in the 99th percentile for carries this year, making up 74.6% of the workload in his team’s run game.

Joe Mixon’s 84.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a noteworthy growth in his rushing prowess over last year’s 61.0 rate.

In this week’s contest, Nico Collins is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 98th percentile among WRs with 10.8 targets.

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 49.3% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

In this week’s game, Derrick Henry is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 94th percentile among RBs with 19.8 carries.

Derrick Henry has received 61.7% of his offense’s run game usage this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among running backs.

Derrick Henry’s 109.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a noteable boost in his rushing prowess over last year’s 68.0 figure.

The projections expect Mark Andrews to total 5.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.

Mark Andrews’s possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 74.4% to 86.2%.

With a remarkable 10.3 adjusted yards per target (90th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews rates among the best TE receiving threats in the league.

In this contest, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by the projection model to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.7 targets.

The projections expect Zay Flowers to earn 7.7 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

Zay Flowers has put up significantly more air yards this year (72.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).

Zay Flowers’s 59.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 52.2.

Zay Flowers has posted substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (65.0) this year than he did last year (52.0).

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the projection model to call just 63.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Houston Texans grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.

C.J. Stroud’s 215.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season represents a noteable regression in his throwing skills over last season’s 257.0 mark.

C.J. Stroud checks in as one of the least on-target passers in the NFL this year with a 61.2% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 9th percentile.

C.J. Stroud’s 6.61 adjusted yards-per-target this year indicates a noteworthy reduction in his passing effectiveness over last year’s 7.7% figure.

A rushing game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 50.7% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The projections expect this game to chug along at the 11th-most sluggish pace among all games this week, averaging 26.63 seconds per play given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 30.7 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all QBs.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest clip in football against the Houston Texans defense this year (62.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The predictive model expects the Texans to be the 3rd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 35.7% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This year, the fierce Ravens run defense has given up a puny 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the best in the NFL.

Nico Collins’s possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 71.9% to 66.5%.

Nico Collins’s 9.5 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a noteable decrease in his receiving ability over last year’s 11.0 mark.

Nico Collins’s skills in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this year, compiling a mere 5.68 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.78 figure last year.

The Houston Texans defense has produced the 6th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding just 4.13 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

When it comes to the linebackers’ role in run defense, Houston’s group of LBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.

After accruing 49.0 air yards per game last year, Mark Andrews has been a disappointment this year, currently sitting at 37.0 per game.

The Houston Texans defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 42.0) vs. tight ends this year.

Dalton Schultz’s 28.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season’s 41.0 figure.

Dalton Schultz’s ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 70.0% to 60.9%.

Dalton Schultz’s 5.9 adjusted yards per target this year conveys an impressive drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 7.4 mark.

Zay Flowers’s 67.8% Adjusted Catch% this year shows an impressive regression in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 75.1% mark.

This year, the daunting Texans defense has surrendered a paltry 58.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.

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