
BAL @ TB







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, October 21st
21/10/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Opposing teams have averaged 42.7 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
With an impressive record of 249.0 adjusted passing yards per game (77th percentile), Lamar Jackson places as one of the best quarterbacks in football this year.
Lamar Jackson rates as one of the best per-play quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an impressive 8.48 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.
This year, the weak Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has given up a monstrous 260.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 3rd-most in football.
The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Cade Otton to total 5.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among TEs.
Cade Otton’s 32.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 26.1.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 48.6% of their chances: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect Derrick Henry to garner 18.1 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
Derrick Henry has been given 57.8% of his offense’s rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Derrick Henry’s 122.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a remarkable growth in his rushing proficiency over last year’s 68.0 rate.
Baker Mayfield has been one of the best passers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 252.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.
Baker Mayfield’s passing precision has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 63.6% to 70.2%.
This week, Chris Godwin is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 96th percentile among wide receivers with 9.7 targets.
Chris Godwin has posted substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (85.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).
This week, Isaiah Likely is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 79th percentile among TEs with 4.2 targets.
Isaiah Likely has accumulated significantly more air yards this year (40.0 per game) than he did last year (14.0 per game).
Isaiah Likely’s 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 16.0.
This week, Zay Flowers is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets.
With a sizeable 27.5% Target% (93rd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers ranks among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.
Zay Flowers has been responsible for a colossal 24.4% of his offense’s air yards this year: 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Zay Flowers’s 66.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a remarkable gain in his receiving skills over last year’s 52.0 rate.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week’s game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
The projections expect the Buccaneers to be the least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 37.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Buccaneers to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a measly 54.8 per game on average).
This year, the tough Baltimore Ravens run defense has given up a measly 57.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the fewest in football.
A running game script is suggested by the Ravens being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Ravens offense to be the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 30.22 seconds per play.
The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to throw 30.6 passes in this week’s contest, on balance: the fewest out of all quarterbacks.
This year, the daunting Buccaneers defense has yielded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a puny 7.2 yards.
After totaling 29.0 air yards per game last season, Cade Otton has posted significant losses this season, currently boasting 21.0 per game.
Cade Otton’s ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 69.8% to 64.4%.
Cade Otton’s 5.9 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a meaningful regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 7.0 rate.
As it relates to linebackers getting after the quarterback, Baltimore’s unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the 10th-best in the NFL.
Chris Godwin has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (44.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).
Isaiah Likely’s 72.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 82.1% mark.
Isaiah Likely’s 8.2 adjusted yards per target this year signifies an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 11.3 figure.
This year, the formidable Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has allowed the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a paltry 6.7 yards.
This year, the fierce Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a feeble 3.5 YAC.
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