
BAL @ DAL







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 22nd
22/09/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positive Match Players Stats Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 132.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
Zay Flowers has run a route on 92.5% of his team’s passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile among WRs.
This week, Zay Flowers is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.8 targets.
Zay Flowers ranks as one of the best WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 49.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 132.3 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The 4th-most plays in football have been run by the Cowboys since the start of last season (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to pass on 62.6% of their chances: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in football.
CeeDee Lamb rates as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 94.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.
In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the 2nd-most in the league.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Dallas’s unit has been awful since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in the NFL.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 132.2 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The model projects Isaiah Likely to accrue 5.4 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among tight ends.
The projections expect Isaiah Likely to be a more integral piece of his team’s passing attack this week (17.9% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.0% in games he has played).
Isaiah Likely grades out in the 96th percentile among TEs this year with an impressive 24.1% of his team’s air yards accumulated.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to run on 45.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect Derrick Henry to accumulate 16.8 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.
Derrick Henry has generated 67.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the league when it comes to running backs (93rd percentile).
The Dallas defensive tackles rank as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
With a sizeable 76.9% Route Participation Rate (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Mark Andrews rates as one of the tight ends with the most usage in the NFL.
In this game, Mark Andrews is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 89th percentile among TEs with 5.5 targets.
With an exceptional 48.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Mark Andrews rates among the leading TEs in the pass game in the NFL.
Dak Prescott is positioned as one of the best passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 251.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.
Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys Negative Match Players Stats
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 54.1% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (58.8%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (58.8%).
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 5th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 37.4% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Ezekiel Elliott’s running effectiveness (3.26 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (11th percentile when it comes to running backs).
Ezekiel Elliott is positioned as one of the worst running backs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.50 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 11th percentile.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Ravens run defense has given up a paltry 98.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 6th-best in the NFL.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.1%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (61.1%).
Since the start of last season, the stout Ravens defense has surrendered the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a feeble 6.9 yards.
In this week’s game, Lamar Jackson is projected by the projections to have the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 31.6. , Lamar Jackson’s throwing precision has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 68.1% to 63.8%.
Lamar Jackson’s 6.74 adjusted yards-per-target this season illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his passing efficiency over last season’s 7.9% rate.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Isaiah Likely’s 76.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates an impressive decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 82.1% mark.
Isaiah Likely’s receiving effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a measly 8.23 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 11.27 figure last season.
Derrick Henry has been a less important option in his team’s run game this season (52.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (65.7%).
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the league versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season (66.8% Adjusted Completion%).
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited good efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 6.68 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
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