Eagles vs Bills Match Player Stats | Week 17 Sunday 2025

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PHI @ BUF

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 17 Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 28th
28/12/25 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Philadelphia Eagles Game Today

The Eagles O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

With a sizeable 20.4% Target Rate (79th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Bills grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Khalil Shakir rates as one of the best possession receivers in football, completing an excellent 79.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to run on 46.4% of their chances: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

This week, Saquon Barkley is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.7 carries.

Saquon Barkley has received 65.6% of his team’s carries this year, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.

This year, the porous Bills run defense has yielded a whopping 144.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-most in the league.

When it comes to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Buffalo’s unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

The predictive model expects A.J. Brown to accrue 8.4 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.

When it comes to air yards, A.J. Brown grades out in the lofty 92nd percentile among wideouts this year, accumulating a whopping 95.0 per game.

The leading projections forecast Dallas Goedert to accumulate 5.9 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.

As it relates to air yards, Dallas Goedert grades out in the lofty 86th percentile among TEs this year, accumulating a whopping 38.0 per game.

Dallas Goedert ranks as one of the top TE receiving threats this year, averaging an impressive 41.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

Josh Allen’s 71.1% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a substantial boost in his passing precision over last year’s 64.7% rate.

With a stellar 8.29 adjusted yards-per-target (90th percentile) this year, Josh Allen has been among the best per-play QBs in football.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bills to run on 48.1% of their downs: the highest rate among all teams this week.

This week, James Cook is expected by the model to rank in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs with 19.4 carries.

James Cook has been much more involved in his team’s running game this year (66.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (50.9%).

James Cook has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (92.0) this year than he did last year (68.0).

James Cook’s running effectiveness (5.46 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (95th percentile when it comes to running backs).

Negatives with the Buffalo Bills Game Today

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see only 124.4 total plays run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.

The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (just 54.9 per game on average).

The model projects Jalen Hurts to throw 30.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all QBs.

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 51.9% of their downs: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have only 124.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

Khalil Shakir has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (23.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game).

Khalil Shakir’s 41.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 56.0 figure.

The Eagles pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (57.5%) vs. wideouts this year (57.5%).

Saquon Barkley’s 63.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a meaningful reduction in his rushing ability over last season’s 118.0 figure.

Saquon Barkley’s rushing effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling just 3.86 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.48 rate last season.

A.J. Brown’s 63.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a significant drop-off in his receiving ability over last year’s 80.0 figure.

Dallas Goedert’s 40.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 47.0.

Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to throw 29.9 passes in this week’s game, on average: the fewest among all QBs.

Josh Allen’s 207.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season represents a remarkable decrease in his throwing proficiency over last season’s 237.0 rate.

This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed a mere 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the lowest rate in the league.

When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Philadelphia’s collection of DTs has been exceptional this year, profiling as the best in the league.

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