Bills vs Broncos Match Player Stats | 2025 NFL Playoffs 20 Saturday

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BUF @ DEN

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 20 Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos
Todays Game is on Saturday, January 17th
17/01/26 16:30:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Buffalo Bills Game Today

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Broncos defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

The predictive model expects Khalil Shakir to accumulate 6.7 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.

With an elite 21.6% Target Rate (82nd percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir rates as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league.

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year.

Khalil Shakir grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, catching an impressive 80.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bills to run on 46.7% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.

In this contest, James Cook is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 20.2 rush attempts.

James Cook has been a much bigger part of his team’s ground game this season (63.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (50.9%).

James Cook has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (87.0) this year than he did last year (68.0).

With a terrific tally of 5.34 adjusted yards per carry (93rd percentile), James Cook stands among the leading pure rushers in the league this year.

Josh Allen’s throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 64.7% to 71.1%.

With a fantastic 8.25 adjusted yards-per-target (97th percentile) this year, Josh Allen rates as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the league.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 59.6% of their downs: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.7 plays per game.

Our trusted projections expect Evan Engram to notch 3.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among TEs.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year.

The predictive model expects Courtland Sutton to total 7.1 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

In regards to air yards, Courtland Sutton ranks in the towering 95th percentile among wideouts this year, accruing a staggering 98.0 per game.

As it relates to safeties pass-rushing, Buffalo’s safety corps has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league.

This year, the fierce Bills run defense has given up a paltry 5.20 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s ground game: the 30th-best rate in the league.

When it comes to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Buffalo’s safety corps has been dreadful this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

In this week’s game, Dalton Kincaid is predicted by the model to position himself in the 84th percentile among tight ends with 4.5 targets.

When it comes to air yards, Dalton Kincaid ranks in the lofty 88th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a monstrous 39.0 per game.

Dalton Kincaid has put up quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (36.0).

Negatives with the Denver Broncos Game Today

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 53.3% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bills are projected by the predictive model to run only 64.9 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Khalil Shakir has put up far fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (36.0 per game).

Khalil Shakir has accrued a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (42.0) this season than he did last season (56.0).

Khalil Shakir’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a meaningful decrease in his efficiency in space over last year’s 7.8% figure.

This year, the tough Broncos run defense has surrendered a feeble 90.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-fewest in football.

As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Denver’s group of DTs has been great this year, profiling as the 5th-best in football.

In this game, Josh Allen is projected by the projection model to total the fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 31.8.,Josh Allen has passed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (211.0) this year than he did last year (237.0).

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the league versus the Broncos defense this year (67.3% Adjusted Completion%).

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 26.7 per game) this year.

Evan Engram’s 13.1% Target Share this season indicates a significant decline in his air attack workload over last season’s 25.0% figure.

Evan Engram has put up far fewer air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (40.0 per game).

Evan Engram’s 24.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year signifies a noteable diminishment in his receiving ability over last year’s 40.0 figure.

Evan Engram’s ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 75.7% to 69.1%.

Courtland Sutton’s 58.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 68.1.

Courtland Sutton’s 53.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a meaningful decrease in his receiving skills over last year’s 73.0 figure.

Courtland Sutton’s skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this season, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 2.11 figure last season.

This year, the stout Bills defense has yielded a meager 109.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best in the NFL.

Opposing teams have passed for the fewest yards in the league (just 162.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Bills defense this year.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in football vs. the Bills defense this year (67.4% Adjusted Completion%).

The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 2nd-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 40.4% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Dalton Kincaid’s 35.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 43.0.

Dalton Kincaid’s skills in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this year, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.16 rate last year.

The Broncos pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.7%) to TEs this year (71.7%).

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