BAL @ CIN







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 14th
14/12/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Baltimore Ravens Game Today
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.
Lamar Jackson comes in as one of the most efficient passers in football this year, averaging a fantastic 7.85 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 79th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (268.0 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
The Bengals pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency this year, allowing 8.75 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-most in the league.
The Bengals linebackers project as the worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
In this week’s game, Mark Andrews is forecasted by the model to slot into the 83rd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.3 targets.
Mark Andrews has been a big part of his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 16.4% this year, which ranks him in the 84th percentile among TEs.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (97.0) to tight ends this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has shown bad efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 9.92 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to run on 49.8% of their downs: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Derrick Henry to total 19.7 carries in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Derrick Henry has garnered 62.5% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
With an exceptional record of 3.26 yards after contact (78th percentile), Derrick Henry has been among the most efficient RBs in the NFL this year.
This year, the feeble Bengals run defense has surrendered a whopping 158.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the worst in the league.
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Ja’Marr Chase to notch 12.4 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.
After averaging 90.0 air yards per game last season, Ja’Marr Chase has shown good development this season, currently pacing 104.0 per game.
In this week’s contest, Joe Burrow is anticipated by the projection model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 40.0.,This year, the anemic Ravens defense has allowed a massive 259.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-most in the league.
In this week’s game, Zay Flowers is projected by the projections to slot into the 89th percentile among wideouts with 8.1 targets.
With a top-tier 29.1% Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers has been among the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.
Zay Flowers checks in as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 60.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.
Zay Flowers’s 72.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks a meaningful progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 65.7% figure.
With a fantastic 8.9 adjusted yards per target (80th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers ranks as one of the top WRs in the game in football.
Negatives with the Cincinnati Bengals Game Today
The predictive model expects the Bengals as the 2nd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 34.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
While Chase Brown has received 68.9% of his team’s run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Cincinnati’s rushing attack in this week’s game at 52.2%.
Chase Brown has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (50.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
When it comes to the safeties’ role in stopping the run, Baltimore’s collection of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 7th-best in football.
Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per snap.
In this week’s contest, Lamar Jackson is predicted by the projection model to average the 3rd-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 30.4.,In regards to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year.
Lamar Jackson’s 187.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season shows a significant diminishment in his passing prowess over last season’s 243.0 rate.
Mark Andrews has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
Mark Andrews has accrued significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (26.0) this season than he did last season (40.0).
Derrick Henry’s 78.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a significant reduction in his running prowess over last season’s 118.0 rate.
Derrick Henry’s ground efficiency has worsened this year, compiling just 4.89 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 6.17 mark last year.
The Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Ja’Marr Chase has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (80.0) this season than he did last season (98.0).
Ja’Marr Chase’s 67.3% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a significant reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 74.8% rate.
Ja’Marr Chase’s pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, averaging a measly 7.62 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.73 figure last year.
Ja’Marr Chase’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a substantial diminishment in his effectiveness in the open field over last year’s 5.9% figure.
Joe Burrow’s 167.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents an impressive reduction in his passing prowess over last year’s 297.0 mark.
Joe Burrow’s passing precision has tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 71.6% to 65.0%.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
Zay Flowers has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (68.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).
This year, the daunting Bengals defense has allowed a puny 127.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.
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