
TEN @ BUF



Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 20th
20/10/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Tennessee’s CB corps has been awful this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league.
The Titans rank as the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.4% run rate.
In this week’s game, Tony Pollard is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 75th percentile among RBs with 10.8 carries.
Tony Pollard has averaged 63.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among RBs (81st percentile).
This year, the imposing Buffalo Bills run defense has given up a measly 5.03 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 23rd-lowest rate in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills safeties grade out as the 26th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
With a 7-point advantage, the Bills are a heavy favorite in this week’s game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 51.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 121.8 total plays called: the fewest among all games this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Titans, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 28.2 per game) this year.
Josh Allen’s 162.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season conveys a meaningful drop-off in his throwing prowess over last season’s 261.0 mark.
This game’s spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the projections to run only 60.4 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 54.0 per game on average).
The model projects Tony Pollard to be much less involved in his offense’s running game in this contest (43.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (58.5% in games he has played).
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