
SF @ BUF







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 1st
01/12/24 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs with 19.4 carries.
Christian McCaffrey has garnered 70.5% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Christian McCaffrey has generated 88.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (99th percentile).
As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in defending against the run, Buffalo’s DT corps has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in football. in football.
The model projects Dawson Knox to accrue 4.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.
While Dawson Knox has been responsible for 6.8% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Buffalo’s passing offense in this contest at 15.5%.
Dawson Knox ranks in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with a massive 8.6% of his offense’s air yards accumulated.
Dawson Knox’s pass-game effectiveness has gotten better this year, notching 8.47 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 5.91 rate last year.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
The model projects Jauan Jennings to accumulate 7.6 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile among WRs.
Jauan Jennings’s 24.3% Target% this season conveys a remarkable boost in his air attack volume over last season’s 8.8% mark.
In this week’s game, Khalil Shakir is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.5 targets.
Khalil Shakir has been a much bigger part of his offense’s passing game this season (22.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (7.8%).
Khalil Shakir has put up quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (36.0).
With an exceptional 88.0% Adjusted Catch Rate (100th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir places as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to WRs.
With a remarkable 8.16 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (99th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir places among the best wide receivers in the game in the league in the open field.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buffalo Bills to run on 46.9% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect James Cook to earn 14.4 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
Among all RBs, James Cook grades out in the 87th percentile for carries this year, making up 56.1% of the workload in his offense’s ground game.
James Cook has picked up 64.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among running backs (85th percentile).
Josh Allen grades out as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 7.67 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 76th percentile.
In this game, George Kittle is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 87th percentile among tight ends with 6.4 targets.
George Kittle has been a key part of his team’s passing attack, posting a Target Share of 22.9% this year, which ranks him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The 49ers will be forced to use backup quarterback Brandon Allen in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
A throwing game script is suggested by the 49ers being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projection model to run only 60.6 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 56.8 plays per game.
Christian McCaffrey’s ground effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling a measly 3.22 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.64 mark last year.
This game’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 53.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
The 49ers O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
Jauan Jennings’s 3.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a substantial decrease in his efficiency in space over last season’s 4.7% mark.
James Cook ranks as one of the worst RBs in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a measly 2.86 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.
George Kittle’s 5.04 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a remarkable drop-off in his effectiveness in space over last year’s 6.9% figure.
This year, the stout Buffalo Bills defense has given up the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a measly 6.2 yards.
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