BAL @ CLE






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 16th
16/11/25 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Baltimore Ravens Game Today
The predictive model expects Mark Andrews to accumulate 4.7 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Mark Andrews’s 36.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 86th percentile for TEs.
The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 49.9% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
In this week’s game, Derrick Henry is expected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 96th percentile among running backs with 19.9 rush attempts.
Out of all RBs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 91st percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 62.9% of the workload in his offense’s run game.
Derrick Henry grades out as one of the best RBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging an excellent 3.27 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 78th percentile.
At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are massive underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their standard game plan.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Browns are anticipated by the predictive model to call 65.7 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.
The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average).
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.1 per game) this year.
With an extraordinary 91.6% Route Participation% (86th percentile) this year, Jerry Jeudy rates as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.
The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to earn 8.4 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
With a remarkable 29.7% Target% (96th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates among the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL.
With an impressive 59.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (88th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league.
Zay Flowers’s receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 65.7% to 76.7%.
This year, the porous Cleveland Browns defense has allowed the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a massive 8.76 yards.
At the present time, the 8th-most run-centric offense in football (41.1% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Browns.
This year, the strong Baltimore Ravens run defense has yielded a measly 4.98 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 24th-lowest rate in the league.
The Baltimore defensive ends grade out as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
Negatives with the Cleveland Browns Game Today
With a 8.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a massive favorite in this game, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 50.1% of their downs: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
At a hefty 30.48 seconds per snap, the Baltimore Ravens offense grades out as the 5th-most sluggish paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 27.1 per game) this year.
Mark Andrews’s 26.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates an impressive drop-off in his receiving ability over last year’s 40.0 mark.
Derrick Henry has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (74.0) this season than he did last season (118.0).
Derrick Henry’s 5.0 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a material reduction in his running ability over last season’s 6.2 figure.
This year, the feeble Browns run defense has yielded a colossal 3.73 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing rushing attacks: the 30th-highest rate in football.
When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Cleveland’s unit has been great this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.
The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.9% pass rate.
After totaling 95.0 air yards per game last year, Jerry Jeudy has posted significant losses this year, now pacing 88.0 per game.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the worst in the league this year.
Jerry Jeudy’s 35.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season conveys a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 69.0 mark.
Jerry Jeudy’s 45.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a noteable drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 63.9% rate.
After accruing 75.0 air yards per game last season, Zay Flowers has produced significantly fewer this season, currently boasting 62.0 per game.
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