Bills vs Rams Match Player Stats | Week 14 Sunday 2024

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Bills vs Rams Match Player Stats | Week 14 Sunday 2024

BUF @ LA

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 14 Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 8th
08/12/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

This week’s line indicates a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Matthew Stafford’s 65.4% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a noteable improvement in his throwing precision over last season’s 62.4% figure.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-highest clip in the league versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year (73.1% Adjusted Completion%).

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The projections expect Khalil Shakir to total 7.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Khalil Shakir’s 23.5% Target Share this season shows a meaningful gain in his pass game usage over last season’s 7.8% mark.

After accruing 21.0 air yards per game last season, Khalil Shakir has seen marked improvement this season, currently boasting 27.0 per game.

Khalil Shakir’s 61.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a meaningful growth in his receiving ability over last season’s 36.0 mark.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Bills ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.

The Rams pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, giving up 8.20 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-most in football.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles’s group of CBs has been lousy this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bills to run on 44.3% of their downs: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.

In this week’s contest, James Cook is projected by the projection model to position himself in the 81st percentile among running backs with 14.6 rush attempts.

James Cook has generated 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in the league among running backs (88th percentile).

This year, the poor Rams run defense has been gouged for a colossal 144.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 4th-worst in the NFL.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, surrendering 7.27 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-fewest in the league.

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see only 127.6 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.

The 3rd-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Bills this year (just 54.2 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

Josh Allen has passed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (230.0) this season than he did last season (261.0).

When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Los Angeles’s collection of DEs has been excellent this year, ranking as the best in the league.

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