CLE @ BAL







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 14th
14/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Cleveland Browns Game Today
This week’s spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are giant -11.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Browns to pass on 67.2% of their plays: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 130.2 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Cleveland Browns since the start of last season (a monstrous 62.3 per game on average).
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) since the start of last season.
Joe Flacco comes in as one of the best passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 251.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see 130.2 total plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
Our trusted projections expect Zay Flowers to notch 7.4 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 27.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
Zay Flowers has compiled a monstrous 76.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
With an impressive 65.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers ranks as one of the best WRs in the league in the league.
Lamar Jackson rates as one of the top QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 240.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.
With a stellar 67.8% Adjusted Completion% (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the best precision passers in football.
Lamar Jackson is positioned as one of the best per-play passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 8.78 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 100th percentile.
Since the start of last season, the porous Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing teams: a staggering 0.00 YAC.
The projections expect the Ravens to be the most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.1% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
This week, Derrick Henry is projected by the model to place in the 100th percentile among RBs with 21.9 rush attempts.
Derrick Henry has averaged 120.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the NFL among running backs (100th percentile).
Negatives with the Baltimore Ravens Game Today
Jerry Jeudy comes in as one of the weakest WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 1st percentile.
The Ravens safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.
While David Njoku has earned 23.5% of his team’s targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Cleveland’s passing offense in this week’s contest at 17.0%.
David Njoku’s 56.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season’s 72.6% figure.
With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) since the start of last season, David Njoku places among the leading pass-game tight ends in football in picking up extra yardage.
With a 11.5-point advantage, the Ravens are overwhelmingly favored in this game, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 46.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The 7th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Ravens since the start of last season (a measly 55.8 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the NFL.
Zay Flowers comes in as one of the worst wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 1st percentile.
In this week’s contest, Lamar Jackson is projected by the model to have the 3rd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 28.7.,As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Cleveland’s collection of DEs has been great since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.
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