Ravens vs Vikings Match Player Stats | Week 10 Sunday 2025

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BAL @ MIN

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 10 Baltimore Ravens at Minnesota Vikings
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 9th
09/11/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Baltimore Ravens Game Today

A throwing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this week’s contest.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 131.4 offensive plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game against the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by the projections to call 66.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

In this week’s contest, Zay Flowers is projected by the model to position himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.7 targets.

With a top-tier 30.4% Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.

With a fantastic 57.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (87th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers ranks among the best wide receivers in the game in football.

Lamar Jackson’s 72.6% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a significant improvement in his passing accuracy over last season’s 67.6% mark.

With an outstanding 9.07 adjusted yards-per-target (92nd percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the most effective QBs in the league.

The Vikings cornerbacks project as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Our trusted projections expect Mark Andrews to accumulate 4.9 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.

Mark Andrews places in the 84th percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 34.7 mark this year.

Mark Andrews has been one of the most reliable receivers in football among TEs, hauling in a fantastic 81.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to run on 45.6% of their chances: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast Derrick Henry to notch 18.1 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.

Derrick Henry has earned 64.2% of his team’s run game usage this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.

Negatives with the Minnesota Vikings Game Today

The Vikings have run the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.0 plays per game.

T.J. Hockenson has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (20.0 per game) than he did last year (54.0 per game).

T.J. Hockenson’s 29.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 41.0.

T.J. Hockenson’s 28.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year signifies a meaningful reduction in his receiving skills over last year’s 44.0 mark.

T.J. Hockenson’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteworthy drop-off in his efficiency in space over last year’s 3.3% figure.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

This game’s line implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 54.4% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 50.1 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

Zay Flowers has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (67.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).

In racking up a measly 20.1 pass attempts per game this year, Lamar Jackson ranks among the bottom quarterbacks in the league (12th percentile) by this measure.

Justin Jefferson has totaled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (72.0) this year than he did last year (89.0).

Justin Jefferson’s 65.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last season’s 68.4% rate.

Justin Jefferson’s pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, averaging a mere 8.94 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 10.12 mark last year.

Justin Jefferson’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows an impressive decrease in his efficiency in space over last year’s 4.7% mark.

After totaling 44.0 air yards per game last season, Mark Andrews has seen a big downtick this season, now sitting at 29.0 per game.

Derrick Henry’s 73.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys an impressive reduction in his rushing talent over last season’s 118.0 rate.

Derrick Henry’s 5.2 adjusted yards per carry this season conveys an impressive decrease in his running skills over last season’s 6.2 mark.

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