Bills vs Colts Match Player Stats | Week 10 Sunday 2024

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Bills vs Colts Match Player Stats | Week 10 Sunday 2024

BUF @ IND

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 10 Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 10th
10/11/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

The Bills are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

James Cook has picked up 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in football among running backs (81st percentile).

This year, the shaky Colts run defense has been gouged for a monstrous 146.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-most in the league.

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

The Buffalo Bills defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (35.3 per game) this year.

In this game, Josh Downs is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 91st percentile among wideouts with 8.2 targets.

Josh Downs’s 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates an impressive growth in his receiving ability over last season’s 43.0 rate.

At the moment, the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the NFL (44.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Colts.

The predictive model expects Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 17.1 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.

Jonathan Taylor has been a much bigger part of his offense’s ground game this year (72.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (56.8%).

Jonathan Taylor has picked up 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in the league among RBs (92nd percentile).

As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, Buffalo’s unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.5% pass rate.

The Buffalo O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

Josh Allen checks in as one of the most efficient QBs in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 7.88 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 83rd percentile.

This year, the shaky Colts defense has been gouged for a massive 258.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 4th-worst in football.

In logging a monstrous 35.3 pass attempts per game this year, Joe Flacco ranks among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (79th percentile) in this statistic.

When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buffalo Bills to run on 41.3% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Bills to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 52.7 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The model projects James Cook to be a less important option in his team’s run game in this game (45.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (59.1% in games he has played).

Right now, the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense in football (55.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Colts.

The leading projections forecast the Colts to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 53.2 plays per game.

This year, the daunting Bills defense has conceded a puny 135.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-best in football.

Josh Allen’s 229.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year reflects a noteworthy reduction in his throwing prowess over last year’s 261.0 mark.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Indianapolis’s CB corps has been very good this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

This year, the imposing Buffalo Bills defense has given up the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a puny 7.3 yards.

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