CHI @ BAL




Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 26th
26/10/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Chicago Bears Game Today
This week’s spread indicates a throwing game script for the Bears, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bears are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (38.7 per game) this year.
The Chicago offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (268.0 per game) vs. the Ravens defense this year.
With a 41.6% rate of running the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-most run-centric offense in the league has been the Chicago Bears.
D’Andre Swift has picked up 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (87th percentile).
D’Andre Swift’s running efficiency has improved this year, totaling 4.68 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.62 figure last year.
This year, the weak Ravens run defense has given up a staggering 141.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 6th-worst in the NFL.
The Ravens defense has been gouged for the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (159.0) vs. WRs this year.
Negatives with the Baltimore Ravens Game Today
With a 58.4% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL has been the Bears.
Our trusted projections expect D’Andre Swift to be a much smaller part of his offense’s ground game in this week’s contest (43.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.8% in games he has played).
D’Andre Swift profiles as one of the worst running backs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.53 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 19th percentile.
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