
BUF @ NYJ





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, October 14th
14/10/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to notch 13.1 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
The opposing side have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (135 per game) vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year.
The Bills safeties profile as the 28th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New York Jets to pass on 63.1% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
In this week’s game, Aaron Rodgers is expected by the predictive model to have the 4th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.8. , Opposing teams have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
The New York O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
Our trusted projections expect Garrett Wilson to total 10.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
With an extraordinary 30.9% Target Share (98th percentile) this year, Garrett Wilson places as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the 2nd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 125.6 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
Breece Hall’s 73.1% snap rate this season signifies a meaningful gain in his offensive workload over last season’s 55.3% figure.
Breece Hall has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (37.0) this year than he did last year (58.0).
Breece Hall’s 2.9 adjusted yards per carry this season indicates a material drop-off in his rushing skills over last season’s 4.4 mark.
Aaron Rodgers rates as one of the least accurate passers in the NFL this year with a 62.4% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 25th percentile.
Aaron Rodgers ranks as one of the least effective quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 6.65 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 25th percentile.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, surrendering 6.51 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-fewest in football.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo’s group of CBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.
The predictive model expects the Bills to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (a lowly 51.2 per game on average).
Josh Allen’s 196.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a meaningful reduction in his throwing skills over last season’s 261.0 figure.
Josh Allen’s passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 67.3% to 70.5%.
The Jets pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, yielding 6.10 adjusted yards-per-target: the fewest in football.
Garrett Wilson has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (92.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).
With a lackluster 6.4 adjusted yards per target (18th percentile) this year, Garrett Wilson places as one of the weakest wide receivers in the game in the league.
The Bills defense has given up the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 119.0) versus WRs this year.
The Bills pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 6.92 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the league.
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