Bills vs Steelers Match Player Stats | Week 13 Sunday 2025

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BUF @ PIT

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 13 Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 30th
30/11/25 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Buffalo Bills Game Today

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their standard approach.

In this game, James Cook is anticipated by the model to slot into the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.9 carries.

James Cook has been much more involved in his offense’s ground game this year (66.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (50.9%).

James Cook’s 89.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a meaningful progression in his rushing skills over last year’s 68.0 mark.

James Cook’s rushing efficiency (5.35 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (95th percentile among RBs).

The Steelers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year.

This week, Khalil Shakir is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 85th percentile among wideouts with 7.6 targets.

Khalil Shakir has been a big part of his team’s pass game, garnering a Target Share of 20.5% this year, which ranks in the 77th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Bills O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

With a fantastic 78.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (95th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir rates as one of the best possession receivers in the league among wideouts.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their normal approach.

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

With an elite 94.1% Route Participation% (94th percentile) this year, DK Metcalf has been as one of the wideouts with the most usage in football.

In this contest, DK Metcalf is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.5 targets.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo’s collection of CBs has been lousy this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

Josh Allen’s 69.6% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy improvement in his throwing precision over last season’s 64.7% figure.

Josh Allen profiles as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 8.35 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 91st percentile.

This year, the poor Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been gouged for a massive 280.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the worst in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Buffalo’s unit has been terrible this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the league.

The projections expect Jaylen Warren to earn 14.8 carries in this week’s game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.

After making up 25.6% of his offense’s run game usage last year, Jaylen Warren has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now sitting at 65.8%.

Jaylen Warren has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (54.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).

With a fantastic rate of 3.24 yards after contact (78th percentile), Jaylen Warren has been as one of the most formidable RBs in the league this year.

Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (150 per game) vs. the Bills defense this year.

Negatives with the Pittsburgh Steelers Game Today

The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the 11th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

This year, the poor Pittsburgh Steelers run defense has been torched for a massive 4.19 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 24th-worst rate in football.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Khalil Shakir has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game).

Khalil Shakir’s 42.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 56.0 rate.

Khalil Shakir’s 7.9 adjusted yards per target this year marks a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year’s 8.9 rate.

Based on the game dynamics and approaches of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.57 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst pace among all games this week.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a measly 46.3 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

DK Metcalf has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (75.0 per game) than he did last year (99.0 per game).

DK Metcalf’s 51.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 64.0 figure.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh’s collection of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 6th-best in the NFL.

After accumulating 32.0 air yards per game last year, Jonnu Smith has been a disappointment this year, now pacing 18.0 per game.

Jonnu Smith’s 15.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season illustrates a remarkable decline in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 52.0 mark.

Opposing offenses have passed for the 2nd-fewest yards in football (just 184.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Bills defense this year.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in football vs. the Bills defense this year (67.1% Adjusted Completion%).

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to run on 40.4% of their plays: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

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