Jets vs Ravens Match Player Stats | Week 12 Sunday 2025

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NYJ @ BAL

New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens Week 12Jets vs RavensJets vs RavensJets vs RavensJets vs RavensJets vs RavensJets vs Ravens

Todays Matchup Details

Week 12 New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 23rd
23/11/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the New York Jets Game Today

This game’s line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Jets, who are heavy -13.5-point underdogs.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 128.2 total plays run: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.8 per game) this year.

This year, the weak Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed a colossal 250.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 7th-worst in the league.

The Ravens are a huge 13.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 51.3% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Ravens to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

In this week’s game, Derrick Henry is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 20.2 carries.

Opposing squads have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (133 per game) vs. the New York Jets defense this year.

The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to accrue 7.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

With an elite 28.7% Target Share (96th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers ranks among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

Zay Flowers profiles as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an exceptional 60.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.

Zay Flowers’s 75.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a material gain in his receiving talent over last year’s 65.7% mark.

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets to be the 3rd-most run-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.7% run rate.

The model projects Breece Hall to notch 17.6 carries in this game, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Breece Hall has picked up 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL among RBs (84th percentile).

This year, the formidable Baltimore Ravens run defense has surrendered a feeble 4.88 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 24th-lowest rate in football.

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has conceded the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (85.7%) to TEs this year (85.7%).

This year, the poor Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a whopping 8.47 yards.

With a remarkable 68.5% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson rates among the best precision passers in football.

With an excellent 8.49 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson rates among the best per-play QBs in the league.

The New York Jets safeties project as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

The model projects John Metchie III to be a more important option in his team’s passing offense in this game (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.8% in games he has played).

This year, the feeble Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded a colossal 165.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-most in football.

Negatives with the Baltimore Ravens Game Today

Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.3% pass rate.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

Tyrod Taylor comes in as one of the worst per-play quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a lowly 5.73 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 18th percentile.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore’s unit has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a mere 51.8 per game on average).

Derrick Henry’s 78.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year marks a noteworthy drop-off in his rushing skills over last year’s 118.0 figure.

Derrick Henry’s ground effectiveness has diminished this year, notching just 5.19 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 6.17 figure last year.

When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in run defense, New York’s collection of DTs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 48.7% of their plays: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

Zay Flowers has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (62.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Ravens grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.

The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

In this contest, Lamar Jackson is projected by the projection model to wind up with the 2nd-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 29.6.,After totaling 24.0 air yards per game last year, John Metchie III has significantly declined this year, now sitting at 4.0 per game.

John Metchie III has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (27.0).

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