Ravens vs Steelers Match Player Stats | Week 18 Sunday 2026

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BAL @ PIT

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 18 Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Todays Game is on Sunday, January 4th
04/01/26 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Baltimore Ravens Game Today

The Ravens may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to start backup QB Tyler Huntley.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.

Mark Andrews’s 36.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 84th percentile for TEs.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (67.0) vs. TEs this year.

The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (81.1%) versus tight ends this year (81.1%).

After comprising 11.4% of his team’s rushing play calls last season, Kenneth Gainwell has played a bigger part in the running game this season, currently accounting for 29.3%.

Kenneth Gainwell’s 30.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season illustrates an impressive improvement in his running prowess over last season’s 18.0 mark.

Kenneth Gainwell’s rushing efficiency has improved this season, notching 4.87 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 3.84 figure last season.

With a remarkable 95.1% Route Participation Rate (95th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers stands as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL.

In this game, Zay Flowers is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers with 7.2 targets.

With an outstanding 61.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (94th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates among the best pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast Pat Freiermuth to garner 4.9 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile among TEs.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the 9th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 39.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

In this game, Derrick Henry is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 99th percentile among RBs with 20.2 carries.

Out of all RBs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 93rd percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 62.6% of the workload in his offense’s running game.

With an exceptional rate of 5.44 adjusted yards per carry (98th percentile), Derrick Henry has been among the top RBs in the league this year.

Aaron Rodgers’s 66.8% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a remarkable improvement in his passing accuracy over last year’s 63.8% mark.

While Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accounted for 6.7% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Pittsburgh’s pass game in this game at 16.5%.

Negatives with the Pittsburgh Steelers Game Today

At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their standard game plan.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 4th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Ravens this year (a measly 52.7 per game on average).

Mark Andrews has compiled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (25.0) this season than he did last season (40.0).

A running game script is indicated by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week’s game.

The projections expect the Steelers to be the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Steelers are projected by the model to call only 61.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The 5th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (just 52.9 per game on average).

As it relates to the safeties’ role in run defense, Baltimore’s collection of safeties has been terrific this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

After accumulating 75.0 air yards per game last season, Zay Flowers has regressed heavily this season, currently sitting at 68.0 per game.

Pat Freiermuth’s 54.0% Route Participation Rate this year marks a substantial reduction in his pass attack utilization over last year’s 75.8% figure.

Pat Freiermuth has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (28.0 per game).

Pat Freiermuth’s 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates a substantial regression in his receiving ability over last season’s 41.0 mark.

Derrick Henry’s 92.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows an impressive diminishment in his running skills over last year’s 118.0 figure.

This year, the anemic Pittsburgh Steelers run defense has been gouged for a colossal 4.12 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing ground game: the 28th-worst rate in the league.

Aaron Rodgers has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (181.0) this year than he did last year (237.0).

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Baltimore’s safety corps has been great this year, projecting as the best in football.

After accumulating 56.0 air yards per game last season, Marquez Valdes-Scantling has produced significantly fewer this season, now boasting 30.0 per game.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling’s 13.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows an impressive reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 25.0 rate.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling’s pass-catching effectiveness has declined this season, accumulating a measly 4.84 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.79 figure last season.

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