CIN @ BAL







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Thursday, November 27th
27/11/25 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Cincinnati Bengals Game Today
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.5 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
In this game, Mark Andrews is projected by the projections to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.2 targets.
Mark Andrews has been a key part of his team’s passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 17.2% this year, which puts him in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
This year, the feeble Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up a staggering 83.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the most in the NFL.
This year, the feeble Bengals defense has yielded the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a whopping 9.56 yards.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.5 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
With an impressive tally of 3.29 yards after contact (80th percentile), Chase Brown has been as one of the powerful RBs in football this year.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has produced the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 4.88 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 67.3% of their downs: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to attempt 41.0 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the most out of all QBs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
This week, Ja’Marr Chase is predicted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 100th percentile among wide receivers with 13.5 targets.
The leading projections forecast Zay Flowers to earn 8.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Zay Flowers has been an integral part of his team’s passing attack, posting a Target Share of 28.7% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
With an outstanding 60.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (92nd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers rates among the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.
This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been gouged for a massive 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 7th-largest rate in the NFL.
The model projects Mike Gesicki to accrue 6.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
With an exceptional 68.5% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the best precision passers in the NFL.
With an outstanding 8.49 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson has been as one of the most effective passers in the NFL.
This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered a whopping 270.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
This year, the poor Cincinnati Bengals defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a whopping 8.78 yards.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects Derrick Henry to garner 19.0 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (166 per game) versus the Bengals defense this year.
Negatives with the Baltimore Ravens Game Today
With a 7-point advantage, the Ravens are a heavy favorite this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The 2nd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 47.1 per game on average).
After totaling 44.0 air yards per game last year, Mark Andrews has significantly declined this year, now pacing 32.0 per game.
Mark Andrews’s 27.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving talent over last season’s 40.0 figure.
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Bengals are huge underdogs in this week’s game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to run on 32.7% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 48.8 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Chase Brown to be a less important option in his team’s rushing attack in this week’s contest (59.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (70.5% in games he has played).
Chase Brown’s 46.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies an impressive reduction in his running proficiency over last season’s 63.0 figure.
The Bengals O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore’s group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.
After averaging 75.0 air yards per game last season, Zay Flowers has gotten worse this season, currently pacing 62.0 per game.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year.
In this contest, Lamar Jackson is projected by our trusted projection set to average the 5th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 31.6.,Derrick Henry has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (78.0) this season than he did last season (118.0).
Derrick Henry’s 5.2 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a meaningful decline in his running talent over last year’s 6.2 rate.
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