Bengals vs Bills Match Player Stats | Week 14 Sunday 2025

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CIN @ BUF

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 14 Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 7th
07/12/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Cincinnati Bengals Game Today

In this week’s contest, Chase Brown is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 79th percentile among RBs with 13.1 carries.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (140 per game) vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year.

As it relates to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Buffalo’s collection of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

In this week’s contest, Khalil Shakir is expected by the model to position himself in the 77th percentile among WRs with 5.7 targets.

With a high 21.1% Target Share (79th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir places among the wideouts with the highest volume in football.

As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Bills ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

The Bengals linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Josh Allen’s 69.8% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a significant growth in his passing accuracy over last season’s 64.7% figure.

Josh Allen ranks as one of the most effective passers in football this year, averaging a stellar 8.08 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 94th percentile.

Opposing QBs have thrown for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in football (268.0 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.

This year, the shaky Bengals defense has surrendered the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a monstrous 8.65 yards.

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 65.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects Ja’Marr Chase to garner 11.5 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Ja’Marr Chase has been a more integral piece of his offense’s passing offense this year (33.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (27.9%).

Ja’Marr Chase has posted many more air yards this year (111.0 per game) than he did last year (90.0 per game).

This week, Joe Burrow is forecasted by the projection model to have the 4th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 38.3.,The Buffalo cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bills to run on 48.6% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects James Cook to earn 21.2 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

James Cook has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (96.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).

Opposing offenses have rushed for the most adjusted yards in football (156 per game) vs. the Bengals defense this year.

Negatives with the Buffalo Bills Game Today

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 35.0% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are anticipated by the model to run only 63.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

While Chase Brown has been responsible for 69.4% of his offense’s rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a less important option in Cincinnati’s rushing attack in this game at 59.3%.

Chase Brown has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (52.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).

This week’s spread implies a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 5.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have just 127.6 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

Khalil Shakir has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (24.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game).

Khalil Shakir has accrued significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (56.0).

The model projects Josh Allen to attempt 31.3 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Bills, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.0 per game) this year.

The Bengals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Ja’Marr Chase has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (83.0) this season than he did last season (98.0).

Ja’Marr Chase’s 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a significant decrease in his receiving talent over last season’s 74.8% mark.

Joe Burrow has passed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (127.0) this season than he did last season (297.0).

Joe Burrow’s passing accuracy has worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 71.6% to 59.5%.

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