DET @ BAL




Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, September 22nd
22/09/25 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Detroit Lions Game Today
At a -5-point disadvantage, the Lions are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to pass on 60.0% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
The 6th-most plays in the league have been called by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
With an excellent 46.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Sam LaPorta rates as one of the best pass-game tight ends in the NFL.
The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to accumulate 8.3 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
Out of all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs grades out in the 81st percentile for carries this year, making up 46.2% of the workload in his offense’s rushing attack.
With a remarkable total of 84.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (97th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs ranks as one of the leading RBs in the NFL since the start of last season.
With an excellent rate of 5.75 adjusted yards per carry (92nd percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs has been among the best pure rushers in football this year.
Negatives with the Baltimore Ravens Game Today
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Lions have played in the most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier weather this week.
The Ravens safeties rank as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.
Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteable decrease in his efficiency in space over last year’s 3.6% figure.
The Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.26 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the fewest in the NFL.
The model projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 40.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Ravens run defense has allowed a puny 82.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the best in the league.
The Ravens defensive tackles project as the best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
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