
KC @ BUF







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 17th
17/11/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 61.3% of their chances: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
The Buffalo Bills defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.3 per game) this year.
The predictive model expects Travis Kelce to total 10.5 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among TEs.
As it relates to air yards, Travis Kelce grades out in the towering 99th percentile among TEs this year, accumulating a monstrous 60.0 per game.
Travis Kelce’s 62.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 50.2.
In this contest, DeAndre Hopkins is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.1 targets.
DeAndre Hopkins’s 75.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a noteable gain in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 56.6% figure.
DeAndre Hopkins’s 9.8 adjusted yards per target this year marks a significant improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year’s 7.8 figure.
In this week’s game, James Cook is anticipated by the model to finish in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.7 carries.
James Cook has generated 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in football among running backs (84th percentile).
In this game, Patrick Mahomes is projected by the projections to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.8.,With a fantastic rate of 255.0 adjusted passing yards per game (85th percentile), Patrick Mahomes has been as one of the top passers in the league this year.
Patrick Mahomes comes in as one of the most on-target QBs in the NFL this year with an excellent 69.6% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 91st percentile.
The projections expect Kareem Hunt to garner 18.8 carries in this week’s contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Kareem Hunt has been a more important option in his team’s rushing attack this year (71.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (33.2%).
Kareem Hunt has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (76.0) this season than he did last season (29.0).
The Buffalo defensive tackles profile as the 8th-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
Accounting for the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 27.41 seconds per play) will play at the 14th-slowest tempo on the slate this week.
Travis Kelce’s 57.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 68.0 mark.
Travis Kelce’s pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, accumulating just 6.76 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.71 mark last season.
Travis Kelce’s 3.30 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteworthy regression in his effectiveness in space over last year’s 4.8% rate.
The Bills pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 6.36 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.
DeAndre Hopkins’s 53.2% Route% this season illustrates a material reduction in his passing game usage over last season’s 86.5% rate.
DeAndre Hopkins has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (44.0 per game) than he did last year (119.0 per game).
DeAndre Hopkins’s 42.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a material reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 61.0 figure.
DeAndre Hopkins ranks as one of the worst wide receivers in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 17th percentile.
The leading projections forecast this game to chug along at the 14th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 27.41 seconds per play given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The projections expect James Cook to be much less involved in his offense’s rushing attack this week (47.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (59.8% in games he has played).
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has produced the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 3.69 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
As it relates to the linebackers’ role in stopping the run, Kansas City’s collection of LBs has been great this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.
Josh Allen’s 230.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a remarkable drop-off in his throwing ability over last season’s 261.0 figure.
The Chiefs defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
The Buffalo cornerbacks profile as the 4th-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs as the 5th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 38.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Kareem Hunt’s running effectiveness (3.63 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (8th percentile among RBs).
With an awful tally of 2.36 yards after contact (5th percentile) this year, Kareem Hunt places among the easiest-to-tackle running backs in the league.
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