Bills vs Jets Match Player Stats | Week 2 Sunday 2025

|

BUF @ NYJ

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Week 2Bills vs JetsBills vs JetsBills vs JetsBills vs JetsBills vs JetsBills vs Jets

Todays Matchup Details

Week 2 Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 14th
14/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Buffalo Bills Game Today

A throwing game script is implied by the Jets being a -6.5-point underdog in this week’s game.

The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the league vs. the Bills defense since the start of last season (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).

The Buffalo Bills defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.

The Buffalo Bills safeties grade out as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 6.5-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Bills as the 6th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

In this week’s game, James Cook is expected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.4 carries.

James Cook has been given 50.6% of his offense’s rushing play calls since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With an excellent record of 66.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (89th percentile), James Cook rates among the best pure rushers in the NFL since the start of last season.

The leading projections forecast Dalton Kincaid to total 5.2 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.

Dalton Kincaid has been a key part of his team’s pass game, earning a Target Share of 18.8% since the start of last season, which places him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

As it relates to air yards, Dalton Kincaid grades out in the lofty 94th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling a superb 44.0 per game.

The Buffalo O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Dalton Kincaid rates as one of the leading pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 37.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the 3rd-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This week, Breece Hall is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.1 carries.

Breece Hall has picked up 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (80th percentile).

The Buffalo Bills defense owns the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, surrendering 4.71 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The leading projections forecast Garrett Wilson to total 10.0 targets in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.

The model projects Garrett Wilson to be a more integral piece of his team’s passing offense in this week’s game (34.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (27.9% in games he has played).

When it comes to air yards, Garrett Wilson ranks in the lofty 91st percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 88.0 per game.

The Bills pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.7%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (70.7%).

Josh Allen grades out as one of the best passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 247.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Josh Allen’s throwing precision has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.7% to 74.6%.

With a stellar 8.74 adjusted yards-per-target (88th percentile) this year, Josh Allen rates among the most efficient QBs in football.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Jets defense has allowed the most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a monstrous 0.00 YAC.

With a top-tier 22.2% Target% (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Khalil Shakir rates as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in football.

With an excellent 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Khalil Shakir stands among the top pass-catching WRs in football.

Khalil Shakir comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL, catching a fantastic 80.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 97th percentile among WRs.

The Jets pass defense has displayed bad efficiency against WRs since the start of last season, surrendering 8.61 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-most in the NFL.

Negatives with the New York Jets Game Today

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets offensive blueprint to skew 9.7% more towards the run game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New York Jets to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the New York Jets since the start of last season (just 55.8 per game on average).

Justin Fields grades out as one of the bottom passers in football since the start of last season, averaging 116.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 10th percentile.

Our trusted projections expect the Bills to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.7 plays per game.

The New York Jets defense owns the 9th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, allowing just 4.33 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The New York Jets defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best group of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 54.4% of their chances: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Jets, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

The predictive model expects Breece Hall to be a less important option in his offense’s rushing attack in this contest (47.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (62.0% in games he has played).

Garrett Wilson is positioned as one of the worst wide receivers in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 1st percentile.

Latest New York Jets Matches

Latest Buffalo Bills Matches