NYJ @ CIN




Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 26th
26/10/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the New York Jets Game Today
This game’s spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to have 131.9 offensive plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
In this week’s game, Chase Brown is expected by the predictive model to finish in the 77th percentile among RBs with 13.9 rush attempts.
This year, the shaky Jets run defense has yielded a massive 131.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 9th-worst in the NFL.
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect Ja’Marr Chase to accumulate 12.3 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Ja’Marr Chase has been a much bigger part of his offense’s passing attack this season (33.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (27.9%).
In this week’s game, Joe Flacco is expected by the projections to have the most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.7.,The New York Jets pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, allowing 8.12 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-most in football.
Negatives with the Cincinnati Bengals Game Today
The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to start backup QB Joe Flacco in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 37.3% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The Bengals have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.6 plays per game.
While Chase Brown has accounted for 69.7% of his offense’s carries in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in Cincinnati’s ground game in this contest at 57.1%.
Chase Brown’s 37.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a noteable reduction in his rushing prowess over last season’s 63.0 figure.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Jets, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) this year.
When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
Ja’Marr Chase has accumulated quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (82.0) this season than he did last season (98.0).
Joe Flacco has thrown for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (211.0) this year than he did last year (240.0).
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