Jets vs Patriots Match Player Stats | Week 11 Thursday 2025

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NYJ @ NE

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 11 New York Jets at New England Patriots
Todays Game is on Thursday, November 13th
13/11/25 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the New York Jets Game Today

The model projects Stefon Diggs to garner 6.7 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The Patriots O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Stefon Diggs rates as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging an excellent 55.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

Stefon Diggs’s receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 73.7% to 84.0%.

This year, the anemic New York Jets defense has allowed the 10th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a massive 8.49 yards.

In this contest, Hunter Henry is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 77th percentile among tight ends with 4.8 targets.

Hunter Henry has put up a staggering 38.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Hunter Henry’s 9.2 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a remarkable progression in his receiving skills over last season’s 7.9 rate.

The Jets safeties project as the 9th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets as the 7th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 44.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This week, Breece Hall is projected by the projections to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.4 rush attempts.

Breece Hall has received 56.4% of his offense’s carries this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among RBs.

Breece Hall’s 61.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a remarkable growth in his running ability over last year’s 51.0 figure.

With a fantastic record of 3.31 yards after contact (80th percentile), Breece Hall ranks as one of the tenacious RBs in the league this year.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

This year, the feeble New England Patriots defense has conceded a massive 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 8th-most in football.

This year, the shaky Patriots pass defense has been torched for a staggering 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 10th-worst rate in the league.

Negatives with the New England Patriots Game Today

The Patriots are a huge 11.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see only 127.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.

Stefon Diggs has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (68.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (83.6%).

After averaging 64.0 air yards per game last year, Stefon Diggs has seen a big decline this year, currently averaging 54.0 per game.

Hunter Henry’s 35.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 44.2.

The Jets defense has allowed the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 46.0) to tight ends this year.

At a -11.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are enormous underdogs this week, implying much more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are projected by the predictive model to call only 62.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.

This year, the stout Patriots run defense has given up a meager 76.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the fewest in the NFL.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jets to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The Jets offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New England’s group of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.

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