DAL @ NYJ





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 5th
05/10/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Dallas Cowboys Game Today
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to run on 50.0% of their downs: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects Breece Hall to notch 17.2 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Breece Hall has picked up 43.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in football when it comes to running backs (76th percentile).
This year, the deficient Dallas Cowboys run defense has allowed a staggering 131.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 9th-most in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the worst LB corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (315.0 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest level in football versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (82.0% Adjusted Completion%).
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Dallas’s unit has been very bad this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the NFL.
The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a monstrous 63.5 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast Javonte Williams to accumulate 17.0 rush attempts in this week’s game, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
After comprising 32.9% of his offense’s rush attempts last year, Javonte Williams has had a larger role in the ground game this year, now comprising 68.5%.
Javonte Williams has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (79.0) this year than he did last year (31.0).
Javonte Williams’s 5.0 adjusted yards per carry this year illustrates a substantial gain in his running skills over last year’s 3.8 rate.
With a 62.6% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in football has been the Dallas Cowboys.
In totaling a staggering 42.0 pass attempts per game this year, Dak Prescott rates among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (100th percentile) in this statistic.
Dak Prescott’s 290.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a noteworthy growth in his throwing skills over last season’s 244.0 rate.
Dak Prescott’s 73.3% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a meaningful growth in his passing accuracy over last season’s 65.0% rate.
Negatives with the New York Jets Game Today
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the projections to run just 63.5 total plays in this game: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Jets this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).
After accounting for 63.6% of his offense’s rush attempts last season, Breece Hall has been less involved in the rushing attack this season, currently accounting for just 48.1%.
The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
This week, Justin Fields is forecasted by the model to have the 2nd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 29.1.,Justin Fields’s 56.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a noteworthy diminishment in his passing talent over last season’s 108.0 mark.
The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 41.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
Opposing offenses have averaged 22.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
The Cowboys O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 3rd-fewest yards in football (just 158.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the New York Jets defense this year.
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