Jets vs Broncos Match Player Stats | Week 4 Sunday Denver Broncos at New York Jets

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Jets vs Broncos Match Player Stats | Week 4 Sunday Denver Broncos at New York Jets

DEN @ NYJ

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 4 Denver Broncos at New York Jets
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 29th
29/09/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jets being a 6-point favorite in this week’s contest.

The model projects Breece Hall to garner 14.9 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Among all running backs, Breece Hall grades out in the 92nd percentile for carries this year, comprising 62.1% of the workload in his offense’s running game.

Breece Hall has generated 57.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league when it comes to RBs (84th percentile).

The Denver Broncos defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, conceding 5.07 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Broncos are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

With a 65.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league has been the Denver Broncos.

The predictive model expects Courtland Sutton to total 7.5 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

When it comes to air yards, Courtland Sutton grades out in the towering 87th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accruing a massive 81.0 per game.

Courtland Sutton’s 66.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 89th percentile for WRs.

Right now, the 4th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.4% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jets.

This week, Tyler Conklin is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile among tight ends with 3.8 targets.

With an outstanding 31.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (82nd percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Conklin places as one of the top tight ends in the pass game in football.

Since the start of last season, the porous Denver Broncos defense has allowed a whopping 59.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the most in the league.

Since the start of last season, the porous Denver Broncos defense has been torched for a colossal 73.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the largest rate in the league.

Since the start of last season, the weak Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a monstrous 8.03 yards.

As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, New York’s unit has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Garrett Wilson has run a route on 97.9% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

In this game, Garrett Wilson is forecasted by the model to secure a spot in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.2 targets.

The Broncos pass defense has conceded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68%) to WRs since the start of last season (68.0%).

In regards to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

Our trusted projections expect the Jets to be the 4th-least run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 36.6% run rate.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the projections to run just 62.3 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

The New York Jets have played in the most “bad weather” (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should lead to increased pass volume, lower running volume, and improved passing offense results when facing improved conditions in this week’s contest.

Breece Hall’s 3.6 adjusted yards per carry this year reflects a noteworthy diminishment in his running skills over last year’s 4.4 figure.

Given the game dynamics and play styles of each team, the predictive model expects this game (with an average of 27.16 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-worst pace on the slate this week.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Broncos since the start of last season (a measly 55.5 per game on average).

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.5 per game) since the start of last season.

Courtland Sutton’s 36.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents an impressive diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season’s 68.4% figure.

Courtland Sutton’s pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, notching a mere 4.41 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.61 figure last year.

The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass game stats across the board.

The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

With a 34.4% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 5th-least run-centric offense in the league has been the Denver Broncos.

Javonte Williams’s rushing effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging just 2.33 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 3.62 figure last season.

The New York Jets defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding just 4.22 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

Garrett Wilson’s possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 58.8% to 53.6%.

Opposing QBs have passed for the 2nd-fewest yards in the NFL (just 180.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Jets defense since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the formidable New York Jets defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a puny 7.0 yards.

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