
IND @ NYJ





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 17th
17/11/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Right now, the 2nd-most run-focused offense in football (45.0% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Colts.
The model projects the Colts to call the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The projections expect Jonathan Taylor to earn 18.9 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
Jonathan Taylor has grinded out 81.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in football when it comes to running backs (94th percentile).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (138 per game) against the Jets defense this year.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this week’s game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see 130.5 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to notch 16.8 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Breece Hall has generated 52.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (75th percentile).
The leading projections forecast the Jets to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Garrett Wilson has run a route on 98.6% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Garrett Wilson’s 79.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year shows a meaningful gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 63.0 mark.
This year, the shaky Colts pass defense has surrendered a staggering 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the biggest rate in the NFL.
The predictive model expects Aaron Rodgers to throw 36.4 passes this week, on balance: the 3rd-most out of all quarterbacks.
When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Jets ranks as the 7th-best in football this year.
Opposing teams have passed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (262.0 per game) versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Colts are underdogs in this week’s game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.
The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been run by the Colts this year (a mere 47.9 per game on average).
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jets to run on 40.3% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 56.2 plays per game.
Breece Hall has been a more important option in his team’s offense this year, staying in the game for 76.5% of snaps vs just 55.3% last year.
Breece Hall’s rushing effectiveness (3.81 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (14th percentile among RBs).
This year, the poor Indianapolis Colts run defense has been gouged for a massive 4.40 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 22nd-worst rate in football.
After accruing 104.0 air yards per game last year, Garrett Wilson has produced significantly fewer this year, now boasting 92.0 per game.
The Indianapolis cornerbacks grade out as the 6th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.
With a poor 63.7% Adjusted Completion% (21st percentile) this year, Aaron Rodgers stands among the least on-target passers in football.
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