Steelers vs Jets Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

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Steelers vs Jets Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

PIT @ NYJ

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Jets
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 7th
07/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Pittsburgh Steelers Game Today

This game’s line suggests a passing game script for the Jets, who are -3-point underdogs.

The New York O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football last year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.

The Steelers pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency last year, allowing 8.02 adjusted yards-per-target: the 9th-most in the NFL.

The Steelers cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the league last year in pass coverage.

Garrett Wilson has run a route on 97.6% of his team’s dropbacks last year, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

In this week’s game, Garrett Wilson is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 97th percentile among WRs with 9.4 targets.

Garrett Wilson has put up a whopping 89.0 air yards per game last year: 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The Steelers pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency against wideouts last year, surrendering 8.72 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the NFL.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Steelers last year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average).

D.K. Metcalf has run a route on 92.2% of his offense’s passing plays last year, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.

In this week’s contest, D.K. Metcalf is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.0 targets.

When it comes to air yards, D.K. Metcalf grades out in the towering 96th percentile among wideouts last year, accruing an impressive 99.0 per game.

D.K. Metcalf rates as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL last year, averaging an exceptional 64.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to run on 44.0% of their plays: the 9th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

In this week’s game, Jaylen Warren is projected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 12.8 rush attempts.

The predictive model expects Jaylen Warren to be much more involved in his team’s running game in this contest (46.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (25.5% in games he has played).

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to run on 43.9% of their plays: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

With an excellent tally of 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (77th percentile), Breece Hall rates as one of the leading running backs in the NFL last year.

When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh’s DT corps has been terrible last year, projecting as the 4th-worst in football. in football.

This week, Pat Freiermuth is expected by the projections to finish in the 80th percentile among TEs with 4.3 targets.

Pat Freiermuth has been a big part of his team’s passing attack, earning a Target Share of 16.7% last year, which ranks him in the 88th percentile among TEs.

When talking about air yards, Pat Freiermuth ranks in the towering 83rd percentile among TEs last year, accruing a striking 27.0 per game.

With an excellent 41.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (87th percentile) last year, Pat Freiermuth rates as one of the top pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.

Negatives with the New York Jets Game Today

The predictive model expects the New York Jets offensive approach to skew 6.7% more towards running than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the New York Jets to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 62.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Jets have run the 5th-fewest plays in football last year, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.

Justin Fields ranks as one of the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL last year, averaging 108.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 10th percentile.

With a bad 7.8 adjusted yards per target (25th percentile) last year, Garrett Wilson places among the worst pass-catching wide receivers in football.

The Steelers linebackers rank as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the NFL last year in covering receivers.

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Steelers to run the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the New York Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.6 per game) last year.

With a poor 60.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (21st percentile) last year, D.K. Metcalf has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers.

The New York Jets defense owns the 10th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks last year, surrendering just 4.38 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The Jets linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL last year with their run defense.

While Breece Hall has earned 63.6% of his team’s rushing play calls in games he has played last year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of New York’s run game this week at 35.7%.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 98.0 per game) against the Steelers defense last year.

The Jets defense has yielded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 39.0) to TEs last year.

Our trusted projections expect Aaron Rodgers to throw 32.6 passes in this contest, on balance: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.

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