
NYJ @ ARI







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 10th
10/11/24 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cardinals are predicted by the model to run 65.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Trey McBride’s 89.3% Route% this season marks a substantial progression in his pass attack usage over last season’s 62.7% rate.
Our trusted projections expect Trey McBride to garner 8.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to TEs.
After totaling 37.0 air yards per game last year, Trey McBride has seen marked improvement this year, currently sitting at 55.0 per game.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
In this game, Breece Hall is anticipated by the projections to land in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 14.8 rush attempts.
After accounting for 55.4% of his offense’s rushing play calls last year, Breece Hall has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, currently making up 66.5%.
With an exceptional tally of 49.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (75th percentile), Breece Hall rates among the best RBs in the NFL this year.
The model projects the New York Jets as the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 65.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Tyler Conklin has been less involved as a potential target this year (82.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (67.7%).
In this contest, Tyler Conklin is expected by the projections to position himself in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.2 targets.
Garrett Wilson’s 94.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a noteable growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 63.0 rate.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.2%) to WRs this year (69.2%).
Aaron Rodgers ranks as one of the best passers in football this year, averaging an exceptional 278.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the league against the Cardinals defense this year (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).
Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 8th-most run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.8% run rate.
In this week’s game, James Conner is expected by the projections to finish in the 87th percentile among running backs with 16.3 rush attempts.
James Conner has earned 65.7% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.
With an exceptional rate of 72.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (87th percentile), James Conner ranks among the top pure runners in the NFL this year.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
Right now, the 8th-least pass-focused team in football (58.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Arizona Cardinals.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 53.4 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
Trey McBride’s 3.98 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a noteable decrease in his efficiency in space over last season’s 5.1% mark.
The New York Jets defense has given up the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 37.0) versus TEs this year.
The New York Jets defense has conceded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 119.0) vs. WRs this year.
This year, the strong Jets defense has allowed a puny 55.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the best rate in the NFL.
This year, the formidable New York Jets defense has allowed a mere 181.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the fewest in the league.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the NFL versus the New York Jets defense this year (63.8% Adjusted Completion%).
Our trusted projections expect the Jets as the 3rd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 35.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 50.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Breece Hall’s running effectiveness has declined this season, compiling just 3.54 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.39 figure last season.
As it relates to the safeties’ role in stopping the run, Arizona’s unit has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.
After averaging 39.0 air yards per game last year, Tyler Conklin has posted significant losses this year, currently averaging 24.0 per game.
This year, the daunting Cardinals defense has allowed a mere 72.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.
After totaling 104.0 air yards per game last year, Garrett Wilson has seen a big decrease this year, currently sitting at 98.0 per game.
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