Vikings vs Jets Match Player Stats | Week 5 Sunday New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings

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Vikings vs Jets Match Player Stats | Week 5 Sunday New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings

NYJ @ MIN

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 5 New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 6th
06/10/24 09:30:00 AM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

A throwing game script is suggested by the Vikings being a -4-point underdog in this game.

The projections expect the Vikings as the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 8th-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.59 seconds per play.

This week, Justin Jefferson is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.9 targets.

Justin Jefferson’s 78.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 70.9.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jets to pass on 63.2% of their plays: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

Our trusted projections expect Aaron Rodgers to attempt 38.2 passes this week, on balance: the most among all quarterbacks.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (45.0 per game) this year.

The New York O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Tyler Conklin has been used less as a potential target this year (90.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (67.7%).

The projections expect Tyler Conklin to notch 4.9 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to notch 13.5 carries in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The projections expect Garrett Wilson to notch 9.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to WRs.

With a stellar 55.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (80th percentile) this year, Garrett Wilson ranks among the top WRs in the league in the NFL.

In this contest, Sam Darnold is expected by the model to total the 6th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.0. , Sam Darnold’s 240.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks a remarkable growth in his passing ability over last season’s 33.0 mark.

Our trusted projections expect Aaron Jones to accrue 12.6 rush attempts in this week’s game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Aaron Jones has run for many more adjusted yards per game (88.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).

Aaron Jones’s 5.5 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a remarkable progression in his rushing proficiency over last year’s 4.8 rate.

The New York defensive ends project as the worst unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Jets, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 28.8 per game) this year.

After accumulating 139.0 air yards per game last year, Justin Jefferson has significantly declined this year, now boasting 101.0 per game.

Justin Jefferson’s 76.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a material diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 103.0 figure.

This year, the fierce New York Jets defense has yielded a measly 110.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-fewest in football.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Jets defense has surrendered the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a meager 7.1 yards.

This week’s spread implies a rushing game script for the Jets, who are favored by 4 points.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.10 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the league.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers project as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Tyler Conklin’s receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 74.3% to 64.6%.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to run on 36.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Breece Hall’s 72.9% Snap% this year indicates a meaningful boost in his offensive usage over last year’s 55.3% figure.

Breece Hall’s 42.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a remarkable diminishment in his rushing skills over last year’s 58.0 figure.

This year, the strong Minnesota Vikings run defense has allowed a puny 71.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best in football.

Garrett Wilson has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (76.0 per game) than he did last season (104.0 per game).

Garrett Wilson’s 62.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 76.5.

The Vikings pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.30 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the league.

Opposing teams have thrown for the 4th-fewest yards in football (just 155.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Jets defense this year.

The New York Jets pass defense has shown strong efficiency since the start of last season, conceding 6.82 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in football.

The Jets linebackers project as the best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 5th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 39.0% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

While Aaron Jones has earned 62.5% of his team’s run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Minnesota’s ground game this week at 50.5%.

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