
LA @ NYJ






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 22nd
22/12/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are projected by the predictive model to call 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-most among all teams this week.
The model projects Puka Nacua to accumulate 10.2 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
With a terrific 92.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (99th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua ranks among the best pass-catching WRs in the NFL.
Puka Nacua’s 73.7% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates an impressive progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 67.4% rate.
With an exceptional 10.1 adjusted yards per target (89th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua places among the best pass-catching wide receivers in football.
Matthew Stafford has attempted 34.1 throws per game this year, checking in at the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.
Matthew Stafford’s 65.6% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a remarkable improvement in his throwing accuracy over last season’s 62.4% rate.
The New York Jets defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
A throwing game script is implied by the Jets being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 131.8 plays on offense run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Aaron Rodgers to throw 38.2 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the New York Jets ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year.
The model projects Davante Adams to total 9.5 targets in this week’s game, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
With an outstanding 79.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (95th percentile) this year, Davante Adams places among the leading WRs in the league in the NFL.
The projections expect Kyren Williams to accrue 20.3 carries in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Kyren Williams has received 78.1% of his team’s run game usage this year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored this week, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
Puka Nacua has been used less as a potential target this season (68.5% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (91.7%).
After accruing 89.0 air yards per game last year, Puka Nacua has gotten worse this year, now boasting 83.0 per game.
The Rams offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
This year, the strong New York Jets defense has conceded a puny 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 8th-best rate in the league.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 9th-fewest yards in football (just 220.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Jets defense this year.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Jets defense this year (68.7% Adjusted Completion%).
The Jets have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Rams, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 32.5 per game) this year.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 7th-fewest yards in football (just 219.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 4th-lowest level in the league against the Rams defense this year (66.6% Adjusted Completion%).
Davante Adams’s 28.5% Target Share this season reflects a meaningful regression in his passing game utilization over last season’s 35.2% mark.
Davante Adams has put up far fewer air yards this season (88.0 per game) than he did last season (127.0 per game).
The Los Angeles Rams defense has surrendered the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 139.0) vs. wideouts this year.
Kyren Williams’s 83.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a meaningful reduction in his rushing proficiency over last season’s 99.0 mark.
Kyren Williams’s running effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging a mere 4.16 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.20 figure last year.
Kyren Williams has been one of the weakest RBs in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging just 2.66 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 14th percentile.
This year, the poor Jets run defense has conceded a staggering 4.39 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition’s rushing attack: the 23rd-biggest rate in the league.
The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
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