
HOU @ NYJ







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Thursday, October 31st
31/10/24 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jets to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect Garrett Wilson to notch 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
Garrett Wilson’s 78.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season shows a substantial boost in his receiving skills over last season’s 63.0 mark.
Garrett Wilson’s 62.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a remarkable gain in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 58.8% mark.
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
The Houston Texans have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.
The projections expect Joe Mixon to earn 16.2 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has earned 66.4% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon’s 103.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a noteworthy progression in his running proficiency over last season’s 61.0 figure.
Right now, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (62.1% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Texans.
With a high 80.0% Route% (91st percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz rates among the tight ends with the highest volume in the league.
This year, the deficient Jets defense has conceded the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing tight ends: a colossal 5.82 YAC.
In logging a massive 34.2 pass attempts per game this year, C.J. Stroud ranks among the top QBs in football (80th percentile) in this respect.
This week, Aaron Rodgers is anticipated by the projection model to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.7. , Aaron Rodgers is positioned as one of the leading QBs in football this year, averaging a terrific 253.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.
Tyler Conklin has gone out for fewer passes this year (83.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (67.7%).
In this week’s contest, Tyler Conklin is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.1 targets.
The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to accumulate 13.1 carries in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
While Garrett Wilson has received 30.1% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller piece of New York’s passing offense this week at 21.4%.
Garrett Wilson has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (92.0 per game) than he did last season (104.0 per game).
The Texans pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (58.4%) to WRs this year (58.4%).
This year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has allowed the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a feeble 7.4 yards.
As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Houston’s unit has been excellent this year, ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL.
The predictive model expects the Texans to be the 9th-least run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 37.9% run rate.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.7 per game) this year.
After totaling 45.0 air yards per game last season, Dalton Schultz has seen a big decline this season, currently pacing 38.0 per game.
Dalton Schultz has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
Dalton Schultz’s 55.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 70.0% figure.
Dalton Schultz’s 4.9 adjusted yards per target this season marks a noteable regression in his receiving skills over last season’s 7.4 mark.
C.J. Stroud has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (226.0) this season than he did last season (257.0).
This year, the stout New York Jets defense has given up a puny 182.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the fierce New York Jets defense has allowed the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a paltry 4.2 YAC.
The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
With a poor 62.9% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) this year, Aaron Rodgers places as one of the least on-target passers in the NFL.
This year, the daunting Houston Texans defense has surrendered a feeble 61.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best rate in the league.
The Texans pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, allowing 6.61 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in football.
Tyler Conklin has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (39.0 per game).
This year, the stout Houston Texans defense has conceded a measly 24.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the fewest in the NFL.
This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has conceded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a paltry 5.2 yards.
Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to be the 4th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects Breece Hall to be a less important option in his team’s running game in this week’s game (52.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (65.2% in games he has played).
Breece Hall has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (58.0).
Breece Hall’s ground efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging a mere 3.45 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.39 rate last year.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 106.0 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.
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