Broncos vs Jets Match Player Stats | Week 6 Sunday 2025

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DEN @ NYJ

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 6 Denver Broncos at New York Jets
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 12th
12/10/25 09:30:00 AM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Denver Broncos Game Today

The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Broncos have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.6 plays per game.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, New York’s group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

The Jets are an enormous 7-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are expected by the model to call 66.0 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in football.

Justin Fields has passed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (145.0) this year than he did last year (108.0).

The Denver cornerbacks grade out as the 10th-worst group of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.4% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With an exceptional total of 70.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (95th percentile), J.K. Dobbins ranks among the top pure rushers in the NFL this year.

The opposing side have run for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (144 per game) vs. the Jets defense this year.

The model projects the Jets to be the 4th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 45.3% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

In this contest, Breece Hall is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 87th percentile among RBs with 16.3 rush attempts.

Breece Hall has picked up 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in football when it comes to running backs (84th percentile).

Breece Hall’s rushing effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, averaging 4.75 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.88 figure last season.

Negatives with the New York Jets Game Today

With a 7-point advantage, the Broncos are heavily favored in this week’s game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.6% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the New York Jets, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 28.4 per game) this year.

This year, the daunting Jets defense has conceded a feeble 202.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-best in the league.

This year, the imposing Jets defense has surrendered a paltry 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to pass on 54.7% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect Justin Fields to attempt 32.6 passes in this week’s contest, on balance: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.

The New York Jets O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest clip in football against the Broncos defense this year (65.5% Adjusted Completion%).

The New York Jets defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best DT corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

After comprising 63.6% of his offense’s rushing play calls last year, Breece Hall has been less involved in the rushing attack this year, currently comprising just 52.0%.

This year, the imposing Broncos run defense has surrendered a feeble 84.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 5th-best in the league.

When it comes to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Denver’s group of safeties has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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