Jets vs Buccaneers Match Player Stats | Week 3 Sunday 2025

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NYJ @ TB

New York Jets at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 3Jets vs BuccaneersJets vs BuccaneersJets vs BuccaneersJets vs BuccaneersJets vs BuccaneersJets vs Buccaneers

Todays Matchup Details

Week 3 New York Jets at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 21st
21/09/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the New York Jets Game Today

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog this week.

The Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.6 per game) since the start of last season.

The Jets offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Opposing teams have thrown for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (242.0 per game) vs. the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 10th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season (72.4% Adjusted Completion%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.4 plays per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Baker Mayfield grades out as one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 267.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.

When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, New York’s unit has been terrible since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Negatives with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Game Today

The model projects the Jets offense to lean 10.8% more towards the rushing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.

The projections expect the Jets as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have only 123.0 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The Jets have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.3 plays per game.

The Tampa Bay cornerbacks rank as the 9th-best CB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

This game’s spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.0% of their downs: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects the Buccaneers to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.2 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Baker Mayfield to throw 31.4 passes in this game, on balance: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the league.

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