MIA @ NYJ




Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 7th
07/12/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Miami Dolphins Game Today
With a 42.2% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 8th-most run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Dolphins.
This week, De’Von Achane is expected by the projections to position himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.7 carries.
De’Von Achane has been much more involved in his offense’s rushing attack this season (66.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (46.4%).
De’Von Achane’s 73.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys a substantial gain in his running talent over last season’s 50.0 rate.
Opposing teams have run for the 5th-most adjusted yards in football (134 per game) against the New York Jets defense this year.
This year, the deficient New York Jets defense has conceded the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a massive 7.90 yards.
The Jets linebackers rank as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The projections expect Jaylen Waddle to garner 8.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
After accumulating 56.0 air yards per game last season, Jaylen Waddle has seen a big uptick this season, currently boasting 86.0 per game.
Jaylen Waddle’s 63.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 43.8.
Jaylen Waddle ranks as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging a terrific 57.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.
The New York Jets pass defense has displayed bad efficiency against wide receivers this year, surrendering 8.46 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in the NFL.
Negatives with the New York Jets Game Today
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are projected by the predictive model to run only 63.4 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
The Dolphins have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.0 plays per game.
The Dolphins rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.8% pass rate.
Tua Tagovailoa’s 178.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks a noteable decrease in his passing ability over last season’s 268.0 rate.
This year, the formidable New York Jets defense has yielded a measly 217.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 10th-best in the league.
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
Jaylen Waddle’s 66.3% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a meaningful diminishment in his receiving ability over last season’s 69.6% figure.
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