ATL @ NYJ





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 30th
30/11/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Atlanta Falcons Game Today
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to run on 46.6% of their downs: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 135.1 total plays run: the most among all games this week.
Our trusted projections expect Bijan Robinson to total 19.3 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Among all running backs, Bijan Robinson ranks in the 91st percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 63.2% of the workload in his team’s running game.
Opposing squads have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (133 per game) vs. the Jets defense this year.
The Falcons O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Jets linebackers grade out as the 9th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets as the 4th-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 48.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The predictive model expects Breece Hall to accrue 20.1 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.
With an exceptional rate of 60.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (84th percentile), Breece Hall has been among the best pure rushers in the NFL this year.
This year, the weak Falcons run defense has been gouged for a whopping 137.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 6th-worst in the NFL.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, conceding 7.86 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-most in the NFL.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Atlanta’s group of CBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.
Negatives with the New York Jets Game Today
Bijan Robinson’s 64.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a meaningful reduction in his rushing ability over last year’s 81.0 figure.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Kirk Cousins’s 57.5% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy decrease in his throwing accuracy over last year’s 65.6% figure.
Kirk Cousins’s 4.32 adjusted yards-per-target this season indicates a noteable decline in his passing efficiency over last season’s 7.4% rate.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Jets this year (a measly 50.6 per game on average).
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jets to pass on 52.0% of their chances: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
In this contest, Tyrod Taylor is predicted by the projection model to wind up with the 11th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.7.,Opposing teams teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Atlanta Falcons, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.1 per game) this year.
With a feeble 5.73 adjusted yards-per-target (18th percentile) this year, Tyrod Taylor rates as one of the least efficient QBs in the NFL.
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