ARI @ HOU






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 14th
14/12/25 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Arizona Cardinals Game Today
The projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.5 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 61.3 plays per game.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
In this week’s game, Nico Collins is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.6 targets.
The Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Jacoby Brissett this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game’s line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Cardinals, who are enormous -9.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 66.2% of their downs: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.5 plays per game.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has been gouged for the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (63.0) to tight ends this year.
In this week’s contest, C.J. Stroud is projected by the projections to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.2.,Jacoby Brissett’s 256.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season represents a substantial boost in his passing proficiency over last season’s 126.0 rate.
Negatives with the Houston Texans Game Today
This week’s line implies an extreme running game script for the Texans, who are heavily favored by 9.5 points.
The Houston O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Nico Collins’s 59.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 67.1% rate.
Nico Collins’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a noteable reduction in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year’s 5.2% rate.
This year, the daunting Cardinals defense has surrendered the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a feeble 7.8 yards.
When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
Trey McBride’s ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 79.2% to 75.2%.
Trey McBride’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a noteable decline in his efficiency in space over last year’s 4.6% rate.
This year, the stout Houston Texans defense has surrendered a measly 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the daunting Texans defense has allowed the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a feeble 6.6 yards.
Dalton Schultz’s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a noteable drop-off in his effectiveness in space over last season’s 3.9% mark.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest rate in football against the Houston Texans defense this year (63.4% Adjusted Completion%).
The Texans pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, allowing 6.54 adjusted yards-per-target: the fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston’s unit has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.
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