Texans vs Rams Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

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Texans vs Rams Match Player Stats | Week 1 Sunday 2025

HOU @ LA

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 1 Houston Texans at Los Angeles Rams
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 7th
07/09/25 16:25:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Houston Texans Game Today

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are expected by the projections to call 66.8 offensive plays in this contest: the most on the slate this week.

In this game, Kyren Williams is projected by the projection model to place in the 91st percentile among RBs with 15.6 carries.

With a remarkable rate of 85.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (96th percentile), Kyren Williams rates as one of the leading running backs in the NFL last year.

The Texans have been the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) last year with a 63.3% pass rate.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

With an extraordinary 77.5% Route% (86th percentile) last year, Dalton Schultz rates among the TEs with the most usage in the league.

In this week’s game, Dalton Schultz is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 83rd percentile among TEs with 4.7 targets.

Our trusted projections expect C.J. Stroud to attempt 35.3 passes this week, on balance: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.

Last year, the feeble Los Angeles Rams defense has been torched for the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a colossal 5.45 YAC.

The projections expect Nick Chubb to accumulate 14.3 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

Nick Chubb has received 59.0% of his offense’s carries last year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

Last year, the strong Los Angeles Rams run defense has surrendered a meager 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 23rd-best rate in the league.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects Puka Nacua to accumulate 10.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.

Puka Nacua ranks as one of the top pass-catching WRs last year, averaging an outstanding 93.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.

Tyler Higbee has received a colossal 7.9% of his team’s air yards last year: 77th percentile among tight ends.

Last year, the deficient Texans defense has allowed the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a colossal 5.79 YAC.

In this week’s contest, Nico Collins is projected by the predictive model to slot into the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.3 targets.

With a fantastic 75.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (93rd percentile) last year, Nico Collins stands as one of the best pass-catching WRs in football.

In this week’s contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the model to average the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.7.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Rams Game Today

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Rams to run on 39.5% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

While Kyren Williams has earned 78.7% of his team’s run game usage in games he has played last year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Los Angeles’s rushing attack in this week’s game at 59.5%.

The Houston Texans defense has had the 8th-best efficiency against opposing ground games last year, surrendering just 4.19 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Houston’s DE corps has been tremendous last year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

The Texans have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Texans grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL last year.

Dalton Schultz checks in as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among TEs, catching a measly 61.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 4th percentile.

With a poor 5.9 adjusted yards per target (12th percentile) last year, Dalton Schultz ranks as one of the weakest pass-catching tight ends in football.

The Rams pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.7%) vs. TEs last year (72.7%).

With a lackluster 61.0% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) last year, C.J. Stroud rates among the least on-target passers in the league.

With a feeble 6.55 adjusted yards-per-target (24th percentile) last year, C.J. Stroud has been among the least efficient passers in football.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in football vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense last year (67.4% Adjusted Completion%).

The Texans have been the 6th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) last year with a 36.7% run rate.

As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Los Angeles’s collection of DEs has been exceptional last year, grading out as the best in football.

The model projects Puka Nacua to be a less important option in his team’s passing game in this week’s game (30.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (36.4% in games he has played).

In regards to pass protection (and the importance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 5th-worst in the league last year.

Last year, the imposing Houston Texans defense has conceded a feeble 58.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the lowest rate in the NFL.

The Texans pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. wideouts last year, allowing 7.54 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Houston’s group of CBs has been fantastic last year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The model projects Tyler Higbee to be a less important option in his team’s passing game in this week’s game (9.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (16.7% in games he has played).

Last year, the strong Texans defense has surrendered a puny 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the lowest rate in football.

The Houston defensive ends rank as the 5th-best group of DEs in football last year in regard to rushing the passer.

Last year, the stout Rams defense has yielded a meager 59.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.

Last year, the tough Houston Texans defense has allowed a puny 63.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the lowest rate in football.

The Houston Texans pass defense has displayed strong efficiency last year, allowing 7.10 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

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