Buccaneers vs Texans Match Player Stats | Week 2 Monday 2025

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TB @ HOU

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Houston Texans
Todays Game is on Monday, September 15th
15/09/25 19:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Game Today

The model projects the Houston Texans to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the NFL (38.3 per game) since the start of last season.

The projections expect Nico Collins to earn 9.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

With an elite 25.5% Target Share (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Nico Collins has been among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in football.

Nico Collins has accrued a staggering 97.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among WRs.

The projections expect the Texans to be the 9th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 43.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

In this week’s contest, Nick Chubb is projected by the projections to rank in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.2 rush attempts.

Since the start of last season, the feeble Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded a monstrous 244.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst in the league.

Since the start of last season, the weak Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been gouged for the most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing squads: a whopping 0.00 YAC.

At just 25.11 seconds per play, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense rates as the 4th-fastest paced in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season.

The Texans defensive tackles profile as the 4th-worst group of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 59.8% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

This week, Mike Evans is forecasted by the projection model to find himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.1 targets.

As it relates to air yards, Mike Evans grades out in the towering 97th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 100.0 per game.

Mike Evans’s 69.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in football: 98th percentile for WRs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

With an outstanding rate of 268.0 adjusted passing yards per game (98th percentile), Baker Mayfield rates as one of the best QBs in the league since the start of last season.

Baker Mayfield comes in as one of the most accurate QBs in the league since the start of last season with an excellent 69.9% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 89th percentile.

With an extraordinary 77.2% Route Participation% (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Dalton Schultz places as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in the NFL.

The predictive model expects Dalton Schultz to earn 6.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.

When talking about air yards, Dalton Schultz grades out in the towering 91st percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 40.0 per game.

Our trusted projections expect Cade Otton to earn 4.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

As it relates to air yards, Cade Otton grades out in the lofty 86th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling a remarkable 34.0 per game.

Negatives with the Houston Texans Game Today

The Houston Texans feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nick Caley, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 5.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Texans have played in the 3rd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense results when facing windier weather in this week’s contest.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Texans grades out as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.

Nico Collins checks in as one of the weakest wideouts in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 1st percentile.

The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 99.0 per game) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.

With a poor 61.4% Adjusted Completion% (17th percentile) since the start of last season, C.J. Stroud rates among the worst precision passers in the league.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run on 40.2% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The Texans defense has produced the 6th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, giving up just 4.15 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

With a lackluster 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Mike Evans ranks among the leading pass-catching WRs in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Texans defense has yielded a measly 59.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the best rate in the league.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest rate in the NFL against the Texans defense since the start of last season (64.1% Adjusted Completion%).

Since the start of last season, the strong Houston Texans defense has allowed the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a feeble 7.2 yards.

With a weak 62.2% Adjusted Catch Rate (4th percentile) since the start of last season, Dalton Schultz has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to TEs.

While Cade Otton has earned 18.3% of his offense’s targets in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Tampa Bay’s passing attack in this week’s contest at 12.5%.

Cade Otton is positioned as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among TEs, completing a measly 69.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 20th percentile.

With a subpar 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) last year, Cade Otton has been as one of the best pass-game tight ends in football in picking up extra yardage.

The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (67.0%).

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