Dolphins vs Texans Match Player Stats | Week 15 Sunday 2024

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Dolphins vs Texans Match Player Stats | Week 15 Sunday 2024

MIA @ HOU

Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans Week 15Dolphins vs TexansDolphins vs TexansDolphins vs TexansDolphins vs TexansDolphins vs TexansDolphins vs Texans

Todays Matchup Details

Week 15 Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 15th
15/12/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Key Match Player Stats to this Game

A throwing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog this week.

The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 63.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

In this week’s game, Jonnu Smith is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 7.5 targets.

Jonnu Smith’s 52.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects an impressive growth in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 34.0 mark.

The predictive model expects Tyreek Hill to accumulate 8.3 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.

The Texans pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.83 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the league.

After comprising 31.2% of his team’s run game usage last season, Devon Achane has played a bigger part in the run game this season, now taking on 44.9%.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric team in football (62.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Houston Texans.

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.66 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The projections expect Dalton Schultz to accumulate 5.0 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs.

Dalton Schultz has posted a staggering 40.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The projections expect Joe Mixon to total 17.3 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

Out of all running backs, Joe Mixon ranks in the 99th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 74.9% of the workload in his offense’s rushing attack.

Joe Mixon has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (92.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).

The predictive model expects Nico Collins to accumulate 11.0 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

While Nico Collins has received 26.0% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Houston’s passing attack in this week’s contest at 31.3%.

The leading projections forecast C.J. Stroud to attempt 36.4 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Dolphins defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).

The predictive model expects Tua Tagovailoa to throw 38.3 passes in this game, on balance: the 6th-most among all quarterbacks.

With an exceptional rate of 283.0 adjusted passing yards per game (97th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa stands as one of the top quarterbacks in football this year.

Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game

Right now, the 6th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Dolphins.

This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has surrendered a measly 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the smallest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Houston’s DE corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.

Tyreek Hill has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (113.0 per game).

Tyreek Hill’s 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 77.5.

Tyreek Hill’s 59.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season conveys a remarkable reduction in his receiving ability over last season’s 109.0 mark.

This year, the daunting Texans defense has surrendered a puny 58.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the best rate in the league.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to run on 36.7% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Devon Achane has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (43.0) this season than he did last season (69.0).

This year, the strong Texans run defense has surrendered a paltry 104.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.

The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Dalton Schultz’s 30.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies a noteworthy decrease in his receiving skills over last season’s 41.0 figure.

Dalton Schultz’s 62.5% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year’s 70.0% mark.

This year, the imposing Miami Dolphins defense has yielded a measly 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 9th-best rate in the league.

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 37.6% run rate.

This year, the strong Dolphins run defense has given up a feeble 105.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 9th-best in football.

As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Miami’s unit has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

Nico Collins’s receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 71.9% to 66.6%.

Nico Collins’s 10.0 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a significant regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 11.0 rate.

The Dolphins defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 135.0) vs. WRs this year.

C.J. Stroud has thrown for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (223.0) this year than he did last year (257.0).

With a lackluster 61.1% Adjusted Completion% (12th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud has been among the least on-target passers in the NFL.

This year, the formidable Houston Texans defense has yielded a puny 62.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the lowest rate in the league.

The Houston Texans pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, yielding 7.26 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-fewest in football.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Houston’s collection of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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