Texans vs Chiefs Match Player Stats | Week 14 Sunday 2025

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HOU @ KC

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 14 Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 7th
07/12/25 20:20:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Houston Texans Game Today

A rushing game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this week’s game.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Chiefs have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.1 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

In this week’s game, Rashee Rice is predicted by the projections to finish in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.1 targets.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

This week, Travis Kelce is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.7 targets.

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a massive 61.2 per game on average).

This week, Patrick Mahomes is expected by our trusted projection set to average the 5th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.4.,Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.6% pass rate.

The projections expect Nico Collins to earn 7.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.

The model projects Dalton Schultz to total 5.9 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

C.J. Stroud’s 65.4% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a material improvement in his throwing accuracy over last year’s 61.0% figure.

Negatives with the Kansas City Chiefs Game Today

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the 6th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.6% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Isiah Pacheco has been a much smaller piece of his offense’s ground game this season (36.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (50.3%).

This year, the stout Houston Texans run defense has allowed a paltry 88.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 3rd-fewest in football.

The Houston Texans safeties grade out as the 5th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

While Rashee Rice has garnered 28.0% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Kansas City’s passing attack in this week’s game at 22.9%.

Rashee Rice’s 71.5% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a material diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 81.1% rate.

Rashee Rice’s skills in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.96 figure last year.

This year, the formidable Houston Texans defense has conceded a feeble 114.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the fewest in the league.

Travis Kelce’s 18.4% Target Share this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his passing attack usage over last season’s 24.6% figure.

Travis Kelce has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (43.0 per game) than he did last season (59.0 per game).

Travis Kelce’s ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this season, accumulating a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.53 mark last season.

This year, the imposing Texans defense has yielded a mere 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 5th-fewest in the league.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week’s game, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-least run-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 37.4% run rate.

Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 99.0 per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

The Chiefs linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

Patrick Mahomes’s 65.2% Adjusted Completion% this season marks an impressive diminishment in his throwing accuracy over last season’s 68.3% figure.

This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has allowed a mere 184.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The Texans pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, allowing 6.64 adjusted yards-per-target: the fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston’s unit has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.

Nico Collins’s 65.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a noteable decrease in his receiving talent over last year’s 75.0 rate.

Nico Collins’s receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 67.1% to 60.8%.

Nico Collins’s skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this season, accumulating a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.18 figure last season.

The Chiefs pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 7.84 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in football.

With a feeble 6.7 adjusted yards per target (24th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz places as one of the weakest pass-catching TEs in the league.

Dalton Schultz’s skills in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this year, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.94 rate last year.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City’s unit has been very good this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.

This year, the fierce Chiefs defense has given up a feeble 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Kansas City’s collection of CBs has been great this year, projecting as the best in football.

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