
HOU @ GB







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, October 20th
20/10/24 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 135.9 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.
In this game, Josh Jacobs is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 100th percentile among running backs with 19.9 rush attempts.
Our trusted projections expect Josh Jacobs to be a much bigger part of his offense’s running game in this contest (73.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (58.8% in games he has played).
Josh Jacobs’s 76.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season illustrates a meaningful boost in his rushing prowess over last season’s 63.0 mark.
At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Green Bay Packers.
The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 38.2 passes this week, on balance: the 4th-most among all QBs.
The Packers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all air attack metrics across the board.
Jordan Love’s 285.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year shows a significant growth in his throwing proficiency over last year’s 250.0 rate.
Tucker Kraft’s 77.2% Route Participation% this season reflects a remarkable gain in his pass game usage over last season’s 44.0% rate.
The model projects Tucker Kraft to accrue 5.6 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to TEs.
The projections expect Romeo Doubs to earn 8.1 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
While Romeo Doubs has accounted for 16.3% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Green Bay’s passing offense in this week’s game at 22.1%.
The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 135.9 total plays run: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a colossal 61.8 per game on average).
The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (36.3 per game) this year.
With a fantastic tally of 249.0 adjusted passing yards per game (79th percentile), C.J. Stroud stands as one of the top quarterbacks in football this year.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 80.2% of his team’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
Stefon Diggs has been one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging a stellar 70.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.
The model projects Joe Mixon to accumulate 13.0 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.
Joe Mixon has picked up 67.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (92nd percentile).
Joe Mixon’s rushing efficiency has improved this year, notching 5.66 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 4.04 figure last year.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 40.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 110.0 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.
The Texans safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
Jordan Love’s 60.4% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful decrease in his throwing precision over last season’s 65.2% mark.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 4th-fewest yards in the league (just 182.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Texans defense this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest rate in football versus the Houston Texans defense this year (59.4% Adjusted Completion%).
The Houston cornerbacks rank as the 10th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
Tucker Kraft’s 75.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 80.6% mark.
The Houston Texans pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (54.4%) to TEs this year (54.4%).
The Houston Texans pass defense has shown good efficiency against tight ends this year, allowing 4.61 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in football.
Romeo Doubs has compiled far fewer air yards this year (60.0 per game) than he did last year (74.0 per game).
Romeo Doubs comes in as one of the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 14th percentile.
This year, the daunting Houston Texans defense has given up a puny 57.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.
In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Texans grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay’s unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.
Dalton Schultz has compiled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
Dalton Schultz’s ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 70.0% to 56.6%.
Dalton Schultz’s pass-game efficiency has declined this season, accumulating a measly 4.37 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.40 figure last season.
Dalton Schultz’s ability to generate extra yardage has declined this year, totaling a mere 2.78 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.15 rate last year.
Stefon Diggs has compiled far fewer air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (105.0 per game).
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to run on 39.7% of their downs: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
While Joe Mixon has been responsible for 61.9% of his team’s rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Houston’s run game in this week’s game at 48.0%.
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