
HOU @ KC







Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Saturday, January 18th
18/01/25 16:30:00 PM EST Kickoff
Key Match Player Stats to this Game
The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 68.3% pass rate.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Chiefs this year (a monstrous 59.5 per game on average).
In this week’s contest, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by the projections to wind up with the most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.8.,When talking about pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.
The model projects this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
In this contest, Joe Mixon is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 95th percentile among running backs with 20.7 carries.
This week, Travis Kelce is projected by the projections to finish in the 100th percentile among tight ends with 7.9 targets.
Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
In this contest, C.J. Stroud is projected by the predictive model to average the 2nd-most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.0.,This week, Dalton Schultz is expected by the model to finish in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.2 targets.
The leading projections forecast Nico Collins to notch 10.2 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact this Game
The Chiefs are a heavy 8.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
This week’s spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Texans, who are huge -8.5-point underdogs.
The model projects the Texans to be the least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Texans have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 55.0 plays per game.
The Houston O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chiefs to run on 39.6% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
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