Texans vs Patriots Match Player Stats | 2025 NFL Playoffs 20 Sunday

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HOU @ NE

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Todays Matchup Details

Week 20 Houston Texans at New England Patriots
Todays Game is on Sunday, January 18th
18/01/26 15:00:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Houston Texans Game Today

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The Patriots O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.6 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.

This year, the feeble New England Patriots defense has yielded a massive 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 2nd-biggest rate in the league.

In this game, Stefon Diggs is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.7 targets.

With an outstanding 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (91st percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs places among the top pass-catching WRs in the league.

Stefon Diggs’s receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 73.7% to 85.4%.

The model projects Hunter Henry to accrue 6.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among TEs.

Hunter Henry has totaled a staggering 43.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs.

With an outstanding 43.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (91st percentile) this year, Hunter Henry has been as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the league.

Negatives with the New England Patriots Game Today

The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The fewest plays in football have been run by the New England Patriots this year (just 52.5 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Texans, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 28.9 per game) this year.

This year, the strong Texans defense has conceded a feeble 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the lowest rate in the NFL.

The Texans pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, giving up 6.71 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in football.

At the moment, the 2nd-least run-oriented team in football (35.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New England Patriots.

This year, the daunting Houston Texans run defense has given up a meager 84.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-best in the NFL.

As it relates to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Houston’s collection of safeties has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Patriots defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

C.J. Stroud has passed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (179.0) this season than he did last season (205.0).

C.J. Stroud is positioned as one of the least accurate quarterbacks in football this year with a 63.2% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 25th percentile.

The Patriots linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

After accumulating 64.0 air yards per game last season, Stefon Diggs has seen a big downtick this season, currently sitting at 50.0 per game.

Stefon Diggs’s 45.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 53.8.

Hunter Henry’s 38.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 44.2.

Hunter Henry’s ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this season, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.06 figure last season.

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